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Wednesday, February 18, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Predicted drought — none occurred

Droughts

~20

-2

Pts Ceded

~110

-11

Murray State Racers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 20 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~2015

-5

Illinois State Redbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · Murray State Racers forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

Illinois State Redbirds Droughts

0

Murray State Racers Droughts

3

Longest Drought

4:00

Murray State Racers

Drought Point Swing

15

Total unanswered points during droughts

Murray State Racers Drought Impact

3 droughts15 unanswered points allowed

15.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

0

No notable droughts

Murray State Racers

Murray State Racers

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 5254 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Roman Domon makes layup

2-Pointer

4:00

10.1 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2728 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Roman Domon makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:24

9.2 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1516 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: KJ Tenner makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:13

11.9 opp pts