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Wednesday, February 18, 2026

Conference game
Illinois State RedbirdsIllinois State Redbirds

78

vs
Murray State RacersMurray State Racers

61

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~9→0

-9

Murray State Racers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~12→15

+3

Illinois State Redbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · Murray State Racers forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Illinois State Redbirds droughts

3

Murray State Racers droughts

4:00

Longest drought

Murray State Racers

15

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Murray State Racers drought cost

3 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

0

No notable droughts

Murray State Racers

Murray State Racers

3
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 52 → 54 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Roman Domon makes layup

2-Pointer

4:00

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 27 → 28 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Roman Domon makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:24

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 15 → 16 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: KJ Tenner makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:13

7.0 pts