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Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~3→3

+0

Pts ceded

~19→7

-12

Northern Iowa Panthers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:10

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~12→20

+8

Illinois State Redbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · Northern Iowa Panthers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

6

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Illinois State Redbirds droughts

3

Northern Iowa Panthers droughts

6:17

Longest drought

Northern Iowa Panthers

27

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Illinois State Redbirds drought cost

3 droughts • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Northern Iowa Panthers drought cost

3 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 12 → 14 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Landon Moore makes driving layup

2-Pointer

4:54

2.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 15 → 17 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Landon Wolf makes layup

2-Pointer

3:20

0.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 44 → 46 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ty'Reek Coleman makes 14-foot step back jumpshot

2-Pointer

3:01

5.0 pts

Northern Iowa Panthers

Northern Iowa Panthers

3
1st Halfcritical

Score: 14 → 16 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Ben Schwieger makes 7-foot floating jump shot (Trey Campbell assists)

2-Pointer

6:17

7.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 22 → 24 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Trey Campbell makes 17-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

4:40

11.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 12 → 14 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: RJ Taylor makes 13-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

4:02

2.0 pts