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Saturday, January 10, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→5

+3

Pts ceded

~15→36

+21

UIC Flames

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:52

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~12→23

+11

Illinois State Redbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · UIC Flames forces 2 opp. droughts/game

9

Total droughts

Both teams combined

5

Illinois State Redbirds droughts

4

UIC Flames droughts

5:09

Longest drought

UIC Flames

59

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Illinois State Redbirds drought cost

5 droughts • 36 pts drought cost

36

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UIC Flames drought cost

4 droughts • 23 pts drought cost

23

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

5
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Ty'Reek Coleman makes driving layup

2-Pointer

4:11

7.0 pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 49 → 50 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Johnny Kinziger makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:00

2.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 39 → 40 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Johnny Kinziger makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:22

11.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 53 → 56 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ty Pence makes 23-foot three point jumper (Chase Walker assists)

3-Pointer

3:22

8.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 10 → 11 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Chase Walker makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:06

8.0 pts

UIC Flames

UIC Flames

4
1st Halfcritical

Score: 7 → 9 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Abdul Momoh makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

5:09

8.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 32 → 34 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Abdul Momoh makes layup

2-Pointer

4:37

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 49 → 51 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Abdul Momoh makes 2-foot dunk (Sam Silverstein assists)

2-Pointer

3:42

3.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 47 → 49 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Abdul Momoh makes 0-foot tip in layup

2-Pointer

3:26

3.0 pts