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Thursday, January 1, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→13

+3

Evansville Purple Aces

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:07

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 23 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~3→3

+0

Pts ceded

~23→31

+8

Illinois State Redbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · Evansville Purple Aces forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Illinois State Redbirds droughts

3

Evansville Purple Aces droughts

8:48

Longest drought

Evansville Purple Aces

44

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Evansville Purple Aces drought cost

3 droughts • 31 pts drought cost

31

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Illinois State Redbirds drought cost

2 droughts • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

2
1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 46 → 48 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Ty'Reek Coleman makes layup

2-Pointer

3:14

5.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 71 → 73 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Ty Blake makes layup

2-Pointer

3:12

8.0 pts

Evansville Purple Aces

Evansville Purple Aces

3
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 35 → 37 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Connor Turnbull makes layup

2-Pointer

8:48

15.0 pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 19 → 20 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Alex Hemenway makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:22

12.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 28 → 29 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Joshua Hughes makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:09

4.0 pts