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Evansville Purple Aces

Evansville Purple Aces

Missouri ValleyOTHER

2025-26 Drought Profile · 29 games played · 7-25 (22%)

Evansville Purple Aces ranks 11th of 11 Missouri Valley teams in droughts per game (2.31 dpg, above the Missouri Valley average of 1.76). Their droughts average 4:07+0:11 above the Missouri Valley norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 8.4 pts per drought, contributing to 12 influenced losses (7 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

2.31

Conf avg: 1.8 · #11 of 11 in Missouri Valley

11th in Missouri Valley

+0.55/game vs Missouri Valley avg

#11 in Missouri Valley (11 teams)

Avg Duration

4:07

Conf avg: 237.1 · #10 of 11 in Missouri Valley

+0:11 vs Missouri Valley avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

8.4

Conf avg: 7.1 · #11 of 11 in Missouri Valley

+1.3 pts vs Missouri Valley avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

12

7 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

21%

Coach called a timeout in 14 of 67 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

2-19

vs 5-6 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 2.3 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 67 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
45
droughts · avg 4:06
2nd Half
22
droughts · avg 4:08
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
42
63% of droughts
6.8 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
12
18% of droughts
9.1 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
13
19% of droughts
12.7 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.8 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
9.1 pts
Critical (5+ min)
12.7 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 87% more points than notable ones (12.7 vs 6.8 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(34%)2-PT(51%)FT(15%)
3-Ptr (23, 34%)2-Ptr (34, 51%)FT (10, 15%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 5
Northern Iowa Panthers@ Northern Iowa Panthers
L 5968
Mar 1
Southern Illinois Salukisvs Southern Illinois Salukis
L 6781
Feb 28
Valparaiso Beaconsvs Valparaiso Beacons
W 8079
Feb 25
Belmont Bruins@ Belmont Bruins
L 6498
Feb 21
Murray State Racers@ Murray State Racers
L 7588
Feb 18
UIC Flamesvs UIC Flames
L 4684
Feb 12
Southern Illinois Salukis@ Southern Illinois Salukis
L 6086
Feb 9
Illinois State Redbirdsvs Illinois State Redbirds
W 8880
Feb 6
Valparaiso Beacons@ Valparaiso Beacons
L 6370
Feb 3
Indiana State Sycamoresvs Indiana State Sycamores
L 6384
Jan 31
Northern Iowa Panthers@ Northern Iowa Panthers
L 5571
Jan 28
Drake Bulldogs@ Drake Bulldogs
L 7882
Jan 20
UIC Flames@ UIC Flames
L 4976
Jan 13
Bradley Bravesvs Bradley Braves
L 9094
Jan 10
Indiana State Sycamores@ Indiana State Sycamores
W 7269
Jan 7
Murray State Racersvs Murray State Racers
L 6979
Jan 4
Northern Iowa Panthersvs Northern Iowa Panthers
L 4862
Jan 1
Illinois State Redbirds@ Illinois State Redbirds
L 4773
Dec 29
Bradley Braves@ Bradley Braves
L 6876
Dec 21
Drake Bulldogsvs Drake Bulldogs
L 6566
Dec 16
Belmont Bruinsvs Belmont Bruins
L 7883
Dec 13
Notre Dame Fighting Irish@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish
L 5882
Dec 6
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
L 7980
Dec 3
Ball State Cardinalsvs Ball State Cardinals
W 6452
Nov 24
Charleston Cougarsvs Charleston Cougars
L 5978
Nov 23
Akron Zipsvs Akron Zips
L 5997
Nov 21
Oregon State Beavers@ Oregon State Beavers
W 7369
Nov 18
UT Arlington Mavericksvs UT Arlington Mavericks
L 7684
Nov 12
Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersvs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
L 7277
Nov 9
vs Oakland City Mighty Oaks
W 7647
Nov 7
vs Calumet Crimson Wave
W 9250
Nov 4
Purdue Boilermakers@ Purdue Boilermakers
L 5182
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 5Northern Iowa Panthers@ Northern Iowa PanthersL 68-59
3
Mar 1Southern Illinois Salukisvs Southern Illinois SalukisL 67-81
3
Feb 28Valparaiso Beaconsvs Valparaiso BeaconsW 80-79
1
Feb 25Belmont Bruins@ Belmont BruinsL 98-64
1
Feb 21Murray State Racers@ Murray State RacersL 88-75
2
Feb 18UIC Flamesvs UIC FlamesL 46-84
3
Feb 12Southern Illinois Salukis@ Southern Illinois SalukisL 86-60
2
Feb 9Illinois State Redbirdsvs Illinois State RedbirdsW 88-800
Feb 6Valparaiso Beacons@ Valparaiso BeaconsL 70-63
4
Feb 3Indiana State Sycamoresvs Indiana State SycamoresL 63-84
3
Jan 31Northern Iowa Panthers@ Northern Iowa PanthersL 71-55
4
Jan 28Drake Bulldogs@ Drake BulldogsL 82-780
Jan 20UIC Flames@ UIC FlamesL 76-49
3
Jan 13Bradley Bravesvs Bradley BravesL 90-94
1
Jan 10Indiana State Sycamores@ Indiana State SycamoresW 69-72
1
Jan 7Murray State Racersvs Murray State RacersL 69-79
3
Jan 4Northern Iowa Panthersvs Northern Iowa PanthersL 48-62
3
Jan 1Illinois State Redbirds@ Illinois State RedbirdsL 73-47
3
Dec 29Bradley Braves@ Bradley BravesL 76-68
2
Dec 21Drake Bulldogsvs Drake BulldogsL 65-66
3
Dec 16Belmont Bruinsvs Belmont BruinsL 78-83
2
Dec 13Notre Dame Fighting Irish@ Notre Dame Fighting IrishL 82-58
4
Dec 6Western Kentucky Hilltoppers@ Western Kentucky HilltoppersL 80-79
2
Dec 3Ball State Cardinalsvs Ball State CardinalsW 64-52
3
Nov 24Charleston Cougarsvs Charleston CougarsL 59-78
2
Nov 23Akron Zipsvs Akron ZipsL 59-97
1
Nov 21Oregon State Beavers@ Oregon State BeaversW 69-73
2
Nov 18UT Arlington Mavericksvs UT Arlington MavericksL 76-840
Nov 12Middle Tennessee Blue Raidersvs Middle Tennessee Blue RaidersL 72-77
1
Nov 9vs Oakland City Mighty OaksW 76-47
1
Nov 7vs Calumet Crimson WaveW 92-50
1
Nov 4Purdue Boilermakers@ Purdue BoilermakersL 82-51
3
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
29 pts allowed during 4 droughts (41.4% of 7-pt margin)
Decisive Factor
27 pts allowed during 3 droughts (34.2% of 10-pt margin)
Major Factor
23 pts allowed during 3 droughts (37.1% of 14-pt margin)
Major Factor
22 pts allowed during 3 droughts (27.2% of 14-pt margin)
Major Factor
Bradley Braves@ Bradley BravesL 68-76Dec 29
22 pts allowed during 2 droughts (28.9% of 8-pt margin)
Major Factor
20 pts allowed during 2 droughts (25% of 1-pt margin)
Major Factor
19 pts allowed during 3 droughts (27.9% of 9-pt margin)
Major Factor
Belmont Bruinsvs Belmont BruinsL 78-83Dec 16
18 pts allowed during 2 droughts (21.7% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
16 pts allowed during 2 droughts (18.2% of 13-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Drake Bulldogsvs Drake BulldogsL 65-66Dec 21
14 pts allowed during 3 droughts (21.2% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
10 pts allowed during 1 drought (13% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Bradley Bravesvs Bradley BravesL 90-94Jan 13
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.6% of 4-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Evansville Purple Aces scoring droughts this season.
1
AC
AJ Casey
24% clutch
17
2
LM
Leif Moeller
27% clutch
11
3
AH
Alex Hemenway
11% clutch
9
4
JH
Joshua Hughes
11% clutch
9
5
CT
Connor Turnbull
50% clutch
8
6
TH
Trent Hundley
14% clutch
7
7
BQ
Bryce Quinet
50% clutch
4
3PT
2PT
FT