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Friday, February 6, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Valparaiso Beacons

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~9→11

+2

Evansville Purple Aces

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:07

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~19→29

+10

Valparaiso Beacons averages 1 droughts/game  · Evansville Purple Aces forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Valparaiso Beacons droughts

4

Evansville Purple Aces droughts

4:38

Longest drought

Evansville Purple Aces

40

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Evansville Purple Aces drought cost

4 droughts • 29 pts drought cost

29

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Valparaiso Beacons drought cost

1 drought • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Valparaiso Beacons

Valparaiso Beacons

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 30 → 31 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Owen Dease makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:09

11.0 pts

Evansville Purple Aces

Evansville Purple Aces

4
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 46 → 49 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Leif Moeller makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

4:38

9.0 pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 49 → 52 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Joshua Hughes makes 25-foot three point jumper (Alex Hemenway assists)

3-Pointer

4:13

12.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 18 → 20 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: AJ Casey makes 3-foot dunk (Alex Hemenway assists)

2-Pointer

3:48

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 4 → 6 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Trent Hundley makes 7-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:16

2.0 pts