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Saturday, February 28, 2026

Conference game
Evansville Purple AcesEvansville Purple Aces

80

vs
Valparaiso BeaconsValparaiso Beacons

79

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Evansville Purple Aces

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:07

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Much better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~19→3

-16

Valparaiso Beacons

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→15

+6

Evansville Purple Aces averages 2 droughts/game  · Valparaiso Beacons forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Evansville Purple Aces droughts

2

Valparaiso Beacons droughts

3:55

Longest drought

Valparaiso Beacons

18

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Evansville Purple Aces drought cost

1 drought • 3 pts drought cost

3

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Valparaiso Beacons drought cost

2 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Evansville Purple Aces

Evansville Purple Aces

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 66 → 67 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: AJ Casey makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:14

3.0 pts

Valparaiso Beacons

Valparaiso Beacons

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 58 → 59 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Rakim Chaney makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:55

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 14 → 15 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Carter Hopoi makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:42

8.0 pts