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Sunday, January 4, 2026

Conference game
Evansville Purple AcesEvansville Purple Aces

48

vs
Northern Iowa PanthersNorthern Iowa Panthers

62

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Evansville Purple Aces

High confidence

4

est. droughts

4:07

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 31 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~4→3

-1

Pts ceded

~31→23

-8

Northern Iowa Panthers

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:10

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→6

-2

Evansville Purple Aces averages 2 droughts/game  · Northern Iowa Panthers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Evansville Purple Aces droughts

1

Northern Iowa Panthers droughts

5:30

Longest drought

Evansville Purple Aces

29

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Evansville Purple Aces drought cost

3 droughts • 23 pts drought cost

23

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Northern Iowa Panthers drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Evansville Purple Aces

Evansville Purple Aces

3
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 8 → 10 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Leif Moeller makes 14-foot jumper

2-Pointer

5:30

9.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 24 → 26 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: AJ Casey makes layup (Leif Moeller assists)

2-Pointer

4:14

8.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: AJ Casey makes layup

2-Pointer

3:36

6.0 pts

Northern Iowa Panthers

Northern Iowa Panthers

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 23 → 26 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Ismael Diouf makes 24-foot three point jumper (Trey Campbell assists)

3-Pointer

3:15

6.0 pts