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Sunday, November 9, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~11→10

-1

Cornell Big Red

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~10→28

+18

Illinois State Redbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · Cornell Big Red forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Illinois State Redbirds droughts

3

Cornell Big Red droughts

4:04

Longest drought

Cornell Big Red

38

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cornell Big Red drought cost

3 droughts • 28 pts drought cost

28

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Illinois State Redbirds drought cost

1 drought • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 3 → 5 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Ty'Reek Coleman made Layup.

2-Pointer

3:52

10.0 pts

Cornell Big Red

Cornell Big Red

3
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 18 → 20 · Opponent scored 15 pts

Ended by: Cooper Noard made Layup. Assisted by Kaspar Sepp.

2-Pointer

4:04

15.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 38 → 39 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Adam Hinton made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:58

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 36 → 38 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Cooper Noard made Jumper.

2-Pointer

3:36

5.0 pts