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Thursday, February 12, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~12→13

+1

Valparaiso Beacons

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~13→22

+9

Illinois State Redbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · Valparaiso Beacons forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Illinois State Redbirds droughts

2

Valparaiso Beacons droughts

4:43

Longest drought

Valparaiso Beacons

35

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Illinois State Redbirds drought cost

2 droughts • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Valparaiso Beacons drought cost

2 droughts • 22 pts drought cost

22

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 7 → 9 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Chase Walker makes layup

2-Pointer

3:47

7.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 18 → 19 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Mason Klabo makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:32

6.0 pts

Valparaiso Beacons

Valparaiso Beacons

2
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 57 → 59 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: JT Pettigrew makes layup

2-Pointer

4:43

14.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 52 → 54 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: JT Pettigrew makes layup

2-Pointer

3:35

8.0 pts