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Friday, February 6, 2026

Conference game
Illinois State RedbirdsIllinois State Redbirds

86

vs
Drake BulldogsDrake Bulldogs

76

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~12→8

-4

Drake Bulldogs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:55

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~14→11

-3

Illinois State Redbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · Drake Bulldogs forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Illinois State Redbirds droughts

1

Drake Bulldogs droughts

4:10

Longest drought

Drake Bulldogs

19

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Drake Bulldogs drought cost

1 drought • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Illinois State Redbirds drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 51 → 54 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Johnny Kinziger makes 26-foot three point jumper (Ty'Reek Coleman assists)

3-Pointer

3:10

8.0 pts

Drake Bulldogs

Drake Bulldogs

1
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 19 → 20 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Okku Federiko makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:10

11.0 pts