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Friday, March 6, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 24 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~32

-1

Pts Ceded

~248

-16

Northern Iowa Panthers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:10

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~152

-13

Illinois State Redbirds averages 2 droughts/game  · Northern Iowa Panthers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

Illinois State Redbirds Droughts

2

Northern Iowa Panthers Droughts

1

Longest Drought

4:15

Illinois State Redbirds

Drought Point Swing

10

Total unanswered points during droughts

2 droughts8 unanswered points allowed

8.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Northern Iowa Panthers Drought Impact

1 drought2 unanswered points allowed

2.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

2
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 1214 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Johnny Kinziger makes 13-foot pullup jump shot (Chase Walker assists)

2-Pointer

4:15

11.5 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1011 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Ty'Reek Coleman makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:51

7.0 opp pts

Northern Iowa Panthers

Northern Iowa Panthers

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 1416 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Ben Schwieger makes 12-foot turnaround jump shot

2-Pointer

3:22

8.2 opp pts