Home

Wednesday, March 25, 2026

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Dayton Flyers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:50

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~1712

-5

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~32

-1

Pts Ceded

~1823

+5

Dayton Flyers averages 2droughts/game  · Illinois State Redbirds forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

Dayton Flyers Droughts

1

Illinois State Redbirds Droughts

2

Longest Drought

7:12

Illinois State Redbirds

Drought Point Swing

35

Total unanswered points during droughts

Dayton Flyers Drought Impact

1 drought12 unanswered points allowed

12

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

2 droughts23 unanswered points allowed

23

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Dayton Flyers

Dayton Flyers

1
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 1416 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Jordan Derkack makes layup

2-Pointer

4:30

18.2 opp pts

Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

2
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 5355 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Ty'Reek Coleman makes 1-foot dunk (Chase Walker assists)

2-Pointer

7:12

25.0 opp pts

1H → 2Hcritical

Score: 3336 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Johnny Kinziger makes 25-foot three point jumper (Boden Skunberg assists)

3-Pointer

5:49

17.9 opp pts