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Saturday, December 13, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Utah State Aggies

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:46

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 7 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~7→5

-2

Illinois State Redbirds

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~14→6

-8

Utah State Aggies averages 1 droughts/game  · Illinois State Redbirds forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Utah State Aggies droughts

1

Illinois State Redbirds droughts

3:21

Longest drought

Utah State Aggies

11

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Illinois State Redbirds drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Utah State Aggies drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Utah State Aggies

Utah State Aggies

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 44 → 46 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Garry Clark made Layup. Assisted by MJ Collins Jr..

2-Pointer

3:21

5.0 pts

Illinois State Redbirds

Illinois State Redbirds

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Ty Pence made Layup. Assisted by Johnny Kinziger.

2-Pointer

3:01

6.0 pts