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Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Sun BeltG5

2025-26 drought profile · 31 games played · 19-12 (61%)

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Arkansas State Red Wolves ranks 2nd of 14 Sun Belt teams in droughts per game (1.13 dpg, below the Sun Belt average of 1.62). Their droughts average 3:40 (0:14 below the Sun Belt norm) and have allowed opponents an average of 7.4 pts per drought, contributing to 7 influenced losses (2 decisive/major) in 2025-26.

Drought profile

1.13

Droughts/game

Conf avg: 1.6 · #2 of 14 in Sun Belt

2nd in Sun Belt

-0.49/game vs Sun Belt avg

#2 in Sun Belt (14 teams)

3:40

Avg duration

Conf avg: 3:53 · #1 of 14 in Sun Belt

-0:14 vs Sun Belt avg

How long cold streaks typically last

7.4

Avg drought cost

Conf avg: 7.2 · #9 of 14 in Sun Belt

+0.2 pts vs Sun Belt avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game impact

7

Influenced losses

2 decisive/major: close losses where droughts swung the margin

34%

Timeout rate

Coach called a timeout in 12 of 35 droughts

2-7

Record w/ 2+ droughts

vs 17-5 in games with 0 to 1 droughts

Drought trend, 2025-26

Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.1 droughts/game.

When droughts happen

Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 35 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.

Half breakdown

1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?

1st half
18
droughts · avg 3:48
2nd half
17
droughts · avg 3:32

Drought cost by severity

How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points. See if critical ones truly hurt more.

Notable (3–4 min)
28
80% of droughts
6.9 pts drought cost
Significant (4–5 min)
5
14% of droughts
8.8 pts drought cost
Critical (5+ min)
2
6% of droughts
10.5 pts drought cost

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.9 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.8 pts
Critical (5+ min)
10.5 pts

Key takeaway

Critical droughts allow 52% more points than notable ones (10.5 vs 6.9 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-ending shots

What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.

3-PT(11%)2-PT(60%)FT(29%)
3-pointer (4, 11%)2-pointer (21, 60%)FT (10, 29%)

Score differential by game

Every game plotted over 40 minutes: positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.

Mar 5
Georgia Southern Eaglesvs Georgia Southern Eagles
L 77–80
Feb 27
Louisiana Ragin' Cajunsvs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
W 81–58
Feb 24
Southern Miss Golden Eaglesvs Southern Miss Golden Eagles
W 89–84
Feb 21
UL Monroe Warhawks@ UL Monroe Warhawks
W 102–94
Feb 19
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns@ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
W 79–62
Feb 14
South Alabama Jaguarsvs South Alabama Jaguars
L 88–92
Feb 11
UL Monroe Warhawksvs UL Monroe Warhawks
W 103–70
Feb 7
Bowling Green Falconsvs Bowling Green Falcons
W 91–54
Feb 4
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers@ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
W 70–66
Jan 31
Marshall Thundering Herdvs Marshall Thundering Herd
L 61–70
Jan 28
Old Dominion Monarchsvs Old Dominion Monarchs
L 71–75
Jan 24
Georgia State Panthers@ Georgia State Panthers
L 81–82
Jan 22
Georgia Southern Eagles@ Georgia Southern Eagles
W 85–68
Jan 17
Troy Trojans@ Troy Trojans
L 74–99
Jan 15
South Alabama Jaguars@ South Alabama Jaguars
L 87–91
Jan 10
Texas State Bobcatsvs Texas State Bobcats
W 83–82
Jan 7
Troy Trojansvs Troy Trojans
W 86–74
Jan 3
James Madison Dukesvs James Madison Dukes
L 74–78
Dec 30
vs Arkansas Tech Wonder Boys
W 107–63
Dec 20
Southern Miss Golden Eagles@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles
W 93–86
Dec 17
Texas State Bobcats@ Texas State Bobcats
W 89–70
Dec 13
Rice Owls@ Rice Owls
L 76–77
Dec 6
Little Rock Trojans@ Little Rock Trojans
W 90–78
Dec 2
UT Arlington Mavericksvs UT Arlington Mavericks
W 83–63
Nov 28
North Dakota State Bisonvs North Dakota State Bison
W 85–80
Nov 24
Jacksonville State Gamecocksvs Jacksonville State Gamecocks
W 74–63
Nov 21
SMU Mustangs@ SMU Mustangs
L 69–100
Nov 19
Saint Mary's Gaels@ Saint Mary's Gaels
L 72–85
Nov 15
vs Christian Brothers Buccaneers
W 95–67
Nov 11
Missouri State Bears@ Missouri State Bears
W 86–85
Nov 7
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks@ Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
L 65–90
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →

Game log

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 5Georgia Southern Eaglesvs Georgia Southern EaglesL 77-80
2
Feb 27Louisiana Ragin' Cajunsvs Louisiana Ragin' CajunsW 81-58
1
Feb 24Southern Miss Golden Eaglesvs Southern Miss Golden EaglesW 89-84
1
Feb 21UL Monroe Warhawks@ UL Monroe WarhawksW 94-1020
Feb 19Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns@ Louisiana Ragin' CajunsW 62-79
1
Feb 14South Alabama Jaguarsvs South Alabama JaguarsL 88-92
2
Feb 11UL Monroe Warhawksvs UL Monroe WarhawksW 103-700
Feb 7Bowling Green Falconsvs Bowling Green FalconsW 91-54
1
Feb 4Coastal Carolina Chanticleers@ Coastal Carolina ChanticleersW 66-70
3
Jan 31Marshall Thundering Herdvs Marshall Thundering HerdL 61-70
3
Jan 28Old Dominion Monarchsvs Old Dominion MonarchsL 71-75
2
Jan 24Georgia State Panthers@ Georgia State PanthersL 82-810
Jan 22Georgia Southern Eagles@ Georgia Southern EaglesW 68-850
Jan 17Troy Trojans@ Troy TrojansL 99-74
1
Jan 15South Alabama Jaguars@ South Alabama JaguarsL 91-87
2
Jan 10Texas State Bobcatsvs Texas State BobcatsW 83-820
Jan 7Troy Trojansvs Troy TrojansW 86-74
1
Jan 3James Madison Dukesvs James Madison DukesL 74-78
2
Dec 30vs Arkansas Tech Wonder BoysW 107-630
Dec 20Southern Miss Golden Eagles@ Southern Miss Golden EaglesW 86-93
1
Dec 17Texas State Bobcats@ Texas State BobcatsW 70-890
Dec 13Rice Owls@ Rice OwlsL 77-76
1
Dec 6Little Rock Trojans@ Little Rock TrojansW 78-90
1
Dec 2UT Arlington Mavericksvs UT Arlington MavericksW 83-63
1
Nov 28North Dakota State Bisonvs North Dakota State BisonW 85-80
3
Nov 24Jacksonville State Gamecocksvs Jacksonville State GamecocksW 74-63
1
Nov 21SMU Mustangs@ SMU MustangsL 100-69
1
Nov 19Saint Mary's Gaels@ Saint Mary's GaelsL 85-72
1
Nov 15vs Christian Brothers BuccaneersW 95-67
1
Nov 11Missouri State Bears@ Missouri State BearsW 85-860
Nov 7Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks@ Stephen F. Austin LumberjacksL 90-65
2

Drought-influenced losses

Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Drought cost" = points the opponent scores during a drought.

James Madison Dukesvs James Madison DukesL 74-78Jan 3
25 pts allowed during 2 droughts (32.1% of 4-pt margin)
Major Factor
South Alabama Jaguarsvs South Alabama JaguarsL 88-92Feb 14
23 pts allowed during 2 droughts (25% of 4-pt margin)
Major Factor
South Alabama Jaguars@ South Alabama JaguarsL 87-91Jan 15
22 pts allowed during 2 droughts (24.2% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Marshall Thundering Herdvs Marshall Thundering HerdL 61-70Jan 31
17 pts allowed during 3 droughts (24.3% of 9-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Georgia Southern Eaglesvs Georgia Southern EaglesL 77-80Mar 5
10 pts allowed during 2 droughts (12.5% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Old Dominion Monarchsvs Old Dominion MonarchsL 71-75Jan 28
9 pts allowed during 2 droughts (12% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Saint Mary's Gaels@ Saint Mary's GaelsL 72-85Nov 19
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.4% of 13-pt margin)
Minor Factor

Drought killers

Players who most often ended Arkansas State Red Wolves scoring droughts in 2025-26.

1
TC
TJ Caldwell
50% clutchⓘ
6
2
CJ
Chandler Jackson
80% clutchⓘ
5
3
CH
Christian Harmon
40% clutchⓘ
5
4
JC
Joey Chammaa
20% clutchⓘ
5
5
JH
Jalen Hampton
80% clutchⓘ
5
6
JE
Jaxon Ellingsworth
0% clutchⓘ
3
7
MH
Matt Hayman
2
3PT
2PT
FT