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Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:48

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts ceded

~18→17

-1

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~10→19

+9

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers averages 2 droughts/game  · Arkansas State Red Wolves forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers droughts

3

Arkansas State Red Wolves droughts

4:39

Longest drought

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

36

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Arkansas State Red Wolves drought cost

3 droughts • 19 pts drought cost

19

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers drought cost

2 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 4 → 7 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: AJ Dancler makes 23-foot three point jumper (Rasheed Jones assists)

3-Pointer

4:39

9.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 39 → 42 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: AJ Dancler makes 25-foot three point jumper (Rasheed Jones assists)

3-Pointer

3:54

8.0 pts

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 20 → 21 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Christian Harmon makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:20

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 17 → 19 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Joey Chammaa makes layup

2-Pointer

3:22

6.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 45 → 46 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Joey Chammaa makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:04

7.0 pts