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Friday, February 27, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~149

-5

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 19 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~35

+2

Pts Ceded

~1940

+21

Arkansas State Red Wolves averages 2 droughts/game  · Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

6

Both teams combined

Arkansas State Red Wolves Droughts

1

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Droughts

5

Longest Drought

4:38

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Drought Point Swing

49

Total unanswered points during droughts

1 drought9 unanswered points allowed

9.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

5 droughts40 unanswered points allowed

40.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4951 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: TJ Caldwell makes layup

2-Pointer

3:06

15.3 opp pts

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

5
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 35 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Karris Bilal makes layup

2-Pointer

4:38

12.7 opp pts

1H → 2HnotableTO called

Score: 2224 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Jeremiah Evans makes 8-foot hook shot

2-Pointer

3:54

17.7 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 3738 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Karris Bilal makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:12

9.6 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5253 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Jeremiah Evans makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:09

14.6 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 912 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: De'Vion Lavergne makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jaxon Olvera assists)

3-Pointer

3:06

11.5 opp pts