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Friday, February 27, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~10→9

-1

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~3→5

+2

Pts ceded

~18→40

+22

Arkansas State Red Wolves averages 1 droughts/game  · Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns forces 2 opp. droughts/game

6

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Arkansas State Red Wolves droughts

5

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns droughts

4:38

Longest drought

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

49

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Arkansas State Red Wolves drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns drought cost

5 droughts • 40 pts drought cost

40

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 49 → 51 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: TJ Caldwell makes layup

2-Pointer

3:06

9.0 pts

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

5
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 3 → 5 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Karris Bilal makes layup

2-Pointer

4:38

6.0 pts

1H → 2HnotableTO called

Score: 22 → 24 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Jeremiah Evans makes 8-foot hook shot

2-Pointer

3:54

12.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 37 → 38 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Karris Bilal makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:12

5.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 52 → 53 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Jeremiah Evans makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:09

10.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 9 → 12 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: De'Vion Lavergne makes 25-foot three point jumper (Jaxon Olvera assists)

3-Pointer

3:06

7.0 pts