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Saturday, January 17, 2026

Conference game
Troy TrojansTroy Trojans

99

vs
Arkansas State Red WolvesArkansas State Red Wolves

74

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Troy Trojans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts ceded

~11→0

-11

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~11→11

+0

Troy Trojans averages 1 droughts/game  · Arkansas State Red Wolves forces 1 opp. droughts/game

1

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Troy Trojans droughts

1

Arkansas State Red Wolves droughts

5:52

Longest drought

Arkansas State Red Wolves

11

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Arkansas State Red Wolves drought cost

1 drought • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Troy Trojans

Troy Trojans

0

No notable droughts

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

1
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 13 → 16 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Christian Harmon makes 31-foot three point jumper (Matt Hayman assists)

3-Pointer

5:52

11.0 pts