James Madison Dukes at Arkansas State Red Wolves

Home

Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference game

Arkansas State Red Wolves

James Madison Dukes

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

Pts ceded

~9→25

+16

James Madison Dukes

High confidence

est. droughts

3:56

avg duration

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~14→8

-6

Arkansas State Red Wolves averages 1 droughts/game · James Madison Dukes forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total droughts

Both teams combined

Arkansas State Red Wolves droughts

James Madison Dukes droughts

4:31

Longest drought

James Madison Dukes

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Arkansas State Red Wolves drought cost

2 droughts • 25 pts drought cost

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

James Madison Dukes drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)

Arkansas State Red Wolves

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 50 → 52 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Jaxon Ellingsworth makes 7-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:11

14.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 23 → 25 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Chandler Jackson makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:13

11.0 pts