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Saturday, January 31, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1317

+4

Marshall Thundering Herd

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:60

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much better than predicted

Droughts

~21

-1

Pts Ceded

~163

-13

Arkansas State Red Wolves averages 2 droughts/game  · Marshall Thundering Herd forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

Arkansas State Red Wolves Droughts

3

Marshall Thundering Herd Droughts

1

Longest Drought

5:17

Marshall Thundering Herd

Drought Point Swing

20

Total unanswered points during droughts

3 droughts17 unanswered points allowed

17.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

1 drought3 unanswered points allowed

3.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

3
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 5456 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Joey Chammaa makes 11-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:27

12.3 opp pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 4345 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: TJ Caldwell makes layup

2-Pointer

3:15

13.0 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 5859 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Aly Tounkara makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:09

6.8 opp pts

Marshall Thundering Herd

Marshall Thundering Herd

1
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 6869 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Wilson Dubinsky makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

5:17

12.2 opp pts