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Saturday, January 31, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~9→17

+8

Marshall Thundering Herd

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:60

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~10→3

-7

Arkansas State Red Wolves averages 1 droughts/game  · Marshall Thundering Herd forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Arkansas State Red Wolves droughts

1

Marshall Thundering Herd droughts

5:17

Longest drought

Marshall Thundering Herd

20

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Arkansas State Red Wolves drought cost

3 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Marshall Thundering Herd drought cost

1 drought • 3 pts drought cost

3

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

3
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 54 → 56 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Joey Chammaa makes 11-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:27

7.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 43 → 45 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: TJ Caldwell makes layup

2-Pointer

3:15

8.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 58 → 59 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Aly Tounkara makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:09

2.0 pts

Marshall Thundering Herd

Marshall Thundering Herd

1
2nd Halfcritical

Score: 68 → 69 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Wilson Dubinsky makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

5:17

3.0 pts