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Thursday, January 15, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

South Alabama Jaguars

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~22

+0

Pts Ceded

~1714

-3

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 22 pts ceded/game

Final Results

As predicted

Droughts

~32

-1

Pts Ceded

~2222

+0

South Alabama Jaguars averages 2 droughts/game  · Arkansas State Red Wolves forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

4

Both teams combined

South Alabama Jaguars Droughts

2

Arkansas State Red Wolves Droughts

2

Longest Drought

4:53

South Alabama Jaguars

Drought Point Swing

36

Total unanswered points during droughts

2 droughts22 unanswered points allowed

22.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

South Alabama Jaguars Drought Impact

2 droughts14 unanswered points allowed

14.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
South Alabama Jaguars

South Alabama Jaguars

2
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 1516 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Chaze Harris makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

4:53

19.1 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 24 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Hantz Louis-Jeune makes layup

2-Pointer

3:21

13.6 opp pts

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 1013 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Royal Blue Smith makes 28-foot three point jumper (Joey Chammaa assists)

3-Pointer

3:57

17.6 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4649 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: TJ Caldwell makes 25-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:53

21.4 opp pts