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Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~11→2

-9

Troy Trojans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~11→22

+11

Arkansas State Red Wolves averages 1 droughts/game  · Troy Trojans forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Arkansas State Red Wolves droughts

2

Troy Trojans droughts

5:24

Longest drought

Troy Trojans

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Arkansas State Red Wolves drought cost

1 drought • 2 pts drought cost

2

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Troy Trojans drought cost

2 droughts • 22 pts drought cost

22

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 64 → 65 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Chandler Jackson makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:07

2.0 pts

Troy Trojans

Troy Trojans

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 3 → 5 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Thomas Dowd makes driving layup

2-Pointer

5:24

10.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 21 → 24 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Cobi Campbell makes 26-foot three point jumper (Thomas Dowd assists)

3-Pointer

3:42

12.0 pts