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Wednesday, January 7, 2026

Conference Game
Arkansas State Red WolvesArkansas State Red Wolves

86

vs
Troy TrojansTroy Trojans

74

Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✓ Much better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts Ceded

~15→2

-13

Troy Trojans

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:58

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final Results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts Ceded

~14→22

+8

Arkansas State Red Wolves averages 2 droughts/game  · Troy Trojans forces 2 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

3

Both teams combined

Arkansas State Red Wolves Droughts

1

Troy Trojans Droughts

2

Longest Drought

5:24

Troy Trojans

Drought Point Swing

24

Total unanswered points during droughts

Arkansas State Red Wolves Drought Impact

1 drought • 2 unanswered points allowed

2.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Troy Trojans Drought Impact

2 droughts • 22 unanswered points allowed

22.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

1
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 64 → 65 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Chandler Jackson makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:07

8.7 opp pts

Troy Trojans

Troy Trojans

2
1st Halfcritical

Score: 3 → 5 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Thomas Dowd makes driving layup

2-Pointer

5:24

20.0 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 21 → 24 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Cobi Campbell makes 26-foot three point jumper (Thomas Dowd assists)

3-Pointer

3:42

18.8 opp pts