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Saturday, February 7, 2026

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~12→6

-6

Bowling Green Falcons

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~13→34

+21

Arkansas State Red Wolves averages 1 droughts/game  · Bowling Green Falcons forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Arkansas State Red Wolves droughts

3

Bowling Green Falcons droughts

6:14

Longest drought

Bowling Green Falcons

40

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Arkansas State Red Wolves drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Bowling Green Falcons drought cost

3 droughts • 34 pts drought cost

34

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 10 → 11 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: TJ Caldwell makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:46

6.0 pts

Bowling Green Falcons

Bowling Green Falcons

3
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 12 → 13 · Opponent scored 21 pts

Ended by: Javontae Campbell makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

6:14

21.0 pts

1st Halfcritical

Score: 1 → 3 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Javontae Campbell makes driving layup

2-Pointer

6:02

7.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 37 → 38 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Javon Ruffin makes free throw 2 of 3

Free Throw

3:01

6.0 pts