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Thursday, February 19, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

High confidence

3

est. droughts

3:57

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts ceded

~18→12

-6

Arkansas State Red Wolves

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:40

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~10→9

-1

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns averages 2 droughts/game  · Arkansas State Red Wolves forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns droughts

1

Arkansas State Red Wolves droughts

3:29

Longest drought

Arkansas State Red Wolves

21

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Arkansas State Red Wolves drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns drought cost

2 droughts • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

2
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 26 → 28 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Jaxon Olvera makes 21-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:08

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 15 → 18 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Jaxon Olvera makes 28-foot three point jumper (De'Vion Lavergne assists)

3-Pointer

3:04

5.0 pts

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Arkansas State Red Wolves

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jalen Hampton makes layup

2-Pointer

3:29

9.0 pts