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Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State Nittany Lions

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2025-26 Drought Profile · 23 games played · 11-20 (36%)

Penn State Nittany Lions ranks 16th of 18 Big Ten teams in droughts per game (1.96 dpg, above the Big Ten average of 1.75). Their droughts average 4:02 — +0:10 above the Big Ten norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 8.8 pts per drought, contributing to 9 influenced losses (3 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.96

Conf avg: 1.8 · #16 of 18 in Big Ten

16th in Big Ten

+0.21/game vs Big Ten avg

#16 in Big Ten (18 teams)

Avg Duration

4:02

Conf avg: 231.9 · #16 of 18 in Big Ten

+0:10 vs Big Ten avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

8.8

Conf avg: 7.2 · #18 of 18 in Big Ten

+1.7 pts vs Big Ten avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

9

3 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

29%

Coach called a timeout in 13 of 45 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

4-12

vs 7-8 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 2.0 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 45 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
36
droughts · avg 4:05
2nd Half
9
droughts · avg 3:49
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
28
62% of droughts
7.6 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
10
22% of droughts
9.3 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
7
16% of droughts
12.7 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
7.6 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
9.3 pts
Critical (5+ min)
12.7 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 67% more points than notable ones (12.7 vs 7.6 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(22%)2-PT(49%)FT(29%)
3-Ptr (10, 22%)2-Ptr (22, 49%)FT (13, 29%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 10
Northwestern Wildcats@ Northwestern Wildcats
L 66–76
Mar 8
Rutgers Scarlet Knights@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights
L 62–74
Mar 4
Ohio State Buckeyesvs Ohio State Buckeyes
L 62–94
Feb 28
Iowa Hawkeyesvs Iowa Hawkeyes
W 71–69
Feb 21
Nebraska Cornhuskers@ Nebraska Cornhuskers
L 64–87
Feb 18
Rutgers Scarlet Knightsvs Rutgers Scarlet Knights
L 72–85
Feb 14
Oregon Ducks@ Oregon Ducks
L 72–83
Feb 11
Washington Huskies@ Washington Huskies
W 63–60
Feb 8
USC Trojansvs USC Trojans
L 75–77
Feb 5
Michigan Wolverines@ Michigan Wolverines
L 69–110
Feb 1
Minnesota Golden Gophersvs Minnesota Golden Gophers
W 77–75
Jan 29
Northwestern Wildcats@ Northwestern Wildcats
L 73–94
Jan 26
Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State Buckeyes
L 78–84
Jan 22
Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin Badgers
L 71–98
Jan 18
Maryland Terrapins@ Maryland Terrapins
L 73–96
Jan 14
UCLA Bruinsvs UCLA Bruins
L 60–71
Jan 10
Purdue Boilermakers@ Purdue Boilermakers
L 85–93
Jan 6
Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan Wolverines
L 72–74
Jan 3
Illinois Fighting Illinivs Illinois Fighting Illini
L 65–73
Dec 29
North Carolina Central Eaglesvs North Carolina Central Eagles
W 90–67
Dec 21
Pittsburgh Panthersvs Pittsburgh Panthers
L 46–80
Dec 13
Michigan State Spartansvs Michigan State Spartans
L 72–76
Dec 9
Indiana Hoosiers@ Indiana Hoosiers
L 72–113
Dec 2
Campbell Fighting Camelsvs Campbell Fighting Camels
W 87–76
Nov 29
Sacred Heart Pioneersvs Sacred Heart Pioneers
W 90–59
Nov 25
Boston University Terriersvs Boston University Terriers
W 96–87
Nov 22
Providence Friarsvs Providence Friars
L 65–77
Nov 19
Harvard Crimsonvs Harvard Crimson
W 84–80
Nov 15
La Salle Explorers@ La Salle Explorers
W 83–69
Nov 11
Navy Midshipmenvs Navy Midshipmen
W 80–71
Nov 8
New Haven Chargers@ New Haven Chargers
W 87–43
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 10Northwestern Wildcats@ Northwestern WildcatsL 76-66
2
Mar 8Rutgers Scarlet Knights@ Rutgers Scarlet KnightsL 74-62
2
Mar 4Ohio State Buckeyesvs Ohio State BuckeyesL 62-94
2
Feb 28Iowa Hawkeyesvs Iowa HawkeyesW 71-69
2
Feb 21Nebraska Cornhuskers@ Nebraska CornhuskersL 87-64
2
Feb 18Rutgers Scarlet Knightsvs Rutgers Scarlet KnightsL 72-850
Feb 14Oregon Ducks@ Oregon DucksL 83-720
Feb 11Washington Huskies@ Washington HuskiesW 60-63
2
Feb 8USC Trojansvs USC TrojansL 75-77
1
Feb 5Michigan Wolverines@ Michigan WolverinesL 110-69
1
Feb 1Minnesota Golden Gophersvs Minnesota Golden GophersW 77-750
Jan 29Northwestern Wildcats@ Northwestern WildcatsL 94-73
3
Jan 26Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State BuckeyesL 84-78
2
Jan 22Wisconsin Badgersvs Wisconsin BadgersL 71-98
3
Jan 18Maryland Terrapins@ Maryland TerrapinsL 96-73
3
Jan 14UCLA Bruinsvs UCLA BruinsL 60-71
3
Jan 10Purdue Boilermakers@ Purdue BoilermakersL 93-850
Jan 6Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan WolverinesL 72-74
1
Jan 3Illinois Fighting Illinivs Illinois Fighting IlliniL 65-73
2
Dec 29North Carolina Central Eaglesvs North Carolina Central EaglesW 90-67
2
Dec 21Pittsburgh Panthersvs Pittsburgh PanthersL 46-80
3
Dec 13Michigan State Spartansvs Michigan State SpartansL 72-76
3
Dec 9Indiana Hoosiers@ Indiana HoosiersL 113-72
1
Dec 2Campbell Fighting Camelsvs Campbell Fighting CamelsW 87-760
Nov 29Sacred Heart Pioneersvs Sacred Heart PioneersW 90-590
Nov 25Boston University Terriersvs Boston University TerriersW 96-87
1
Nov 22Providence Friarsvs Providence FriarsL 65-77
1
Nov 19Harvard Crimsonvs Harvard CrimsonW 84-800
Nov 15La Salle Explorers@ La Salle ExplorersW 69-83
1
Nov 11Navy Midshipmenvs Navy MidshipmenW 80-71
2
Nov 8New Haven Chargers@ New Haven ChargersW 43-870
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights@ Rutgers Scarlet KnightsL 62-74Mar 8
28 pts allowed during 2 droughts (37.8% of 12-pt margin)
Major Factor
UCLA Bruinsvs UCLA BruinsL 60-71Jan 14
26 pts allowed during 3 droughts (36.6% of 11-pt margin)
Major Factor
Michigan State Spartansvs Michigan State SpartansL 72-76Dec 13
24 pts allowed during 3 droughts (31.6% of 4-pt margin)
Major Factor
Illinois Fighting Illinivs Illinois Fighting IlliniL 65-73Jan 3
15 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.5% of 8-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Northwestern Wildcats@ Northwestern WildcatsL 66-76Mar 10
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (18.4% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Ohio State Buckeyes@ Ohio State BuckeyesL 78-84Jan 26
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.5% of 6-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Providence Friarsvs Providence FriarsL 65-77Nov 22
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (14.3% of 12-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Michigan Wolverinesvs Michigan WolverinesL 72-74Jan 6
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (14.9% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
USC Trojansvs USC TrojansL 75-77Feb 8
9 pts allowed during 1 drought (11.7% of 2-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Penn State Nittany Lions scoring droughts this season.
1
FV
Freddie Dilione V
18% clutchⓘ
11
2
JR
Josh Reed
22% clutchⓘ
9
3
KM
Kayden Mingo
38% clutchⓘ
8
4
MT
Melih Tunca
40% clutchⓘ
5
5
DS
Dominick Stewart
0% clutchⓘ
4
6
IJ
Ivan Juric
0% clutchⓘ
3
7
MB
Mason Blackwood
0% clutchⓘ
3
3PT
2PT
FT