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Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Northwestern Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~11→5

-6

Penn State Nittany Lions

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~17→14

-3

Northwestern Wildcats averages 2 droughts/game  · Penn State Nittany Lions forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Northwestern Wildcats droughts

2

Penn State Nittany Lions droughts

4:36

Longest drought

Penn State Nittany Lions

19

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Northwestern Wildcats drought cost

1 drought • 5 pts drought cost

5

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Penn State Nittany Lions drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern Wildcats

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 21 → 22 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Tyler Kropp makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:00

5.0 pts

Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State Nittany Lions

2
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 55 → 57 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Freddie Dilione V makes 12-foot turnaround jump shot

2-Pointer

4:36

8.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 29 → 32 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Kayden Mingo makes 24-foot three point jumper (Freddie Dilione V assists)

3-Pointer

3:11

6.0 pts