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Saturday, February 28, 2026

Conference game
Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State Nittany Lions

71

vs
Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes

69

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Penn State Nittany Lions

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 20 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~20→17

-3

Iowa Hawkeyes

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:05

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→16

+7

Penn State Nittany Lions averages 1 droughts/game  · Iowa Hawkeyes forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Penn State Nittany Lions droughts

2

Iowa Hawkeyes droughts

4:22

Longest drought

Iowa Hawkeyes

33

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Iowa Hawkeyes drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Penn State Nittany Lions drought cost

2 droughts • 17 pts drought cost

17

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State Nittany Lions

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 62 → 63 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Josh Reed makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:42

9.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 34 → 36 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Kayden Mingo makes layup (Ivan Juric assists)

2-Pointer

3:10

8.0 pts

Iowa Hawkeyes

Iowa Hawkeyes

2
2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 67 → 69 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Bennett Stirtz makes driving layup

2-Pointer

4:22

7.0 pts

2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 45 → 46 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Tavion Banks makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:12

9.0 pts