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Thursday, January 29, 2026

Conference game
Northwestern WildcatsNorthwestern Wildcats

94

vs
Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State Nittany Lions

73

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Northwestern Wildcats

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Expected a drought, none occurred

Droughts

~2→0

-2

Pts ceded

~11→0

-11

Penn State Nittany Lions

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~17→20

+3

Northwestern Wildcats averages 2 droughts/game  · Penn State Nittany Lions forces 1 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Northwestern Wildcats droughts

3

Penn State Nittany Lions droughts

3:26

Longest drought

Penn State Nittany Lions

20

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Penn State Nittany Lions drought cost

3 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Northwestern Wildcats

Northwestern Wildcats

0

No notable droughts

Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State Nittany Lions

3
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 61 → 63 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Freddie Dilione V makes layup

2-Pointer

3:26

11.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 40 → 41 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Josh Reed makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:10

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 6 → 8 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Mason Blackwood makes layup (Freddie Dilione V assists)

2-Pointer

3:03

5.0 pts