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Sunday, December 21, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Penn State Nittany Lions

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→3

+1

Pts ceded

~17→20

+3

Pittsburgh Panthers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:59

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~15→8

-7

Penn State Nittany Lions averages 1 droughts/game  · Pittsburgh Panthers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Penn State Nittany Lions droughts

1

Pittsburgh Panthers droughts

5:36

Longest drought

Pittsburgh Panthers

28

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Penn State Nittany Lions drought cost

3 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Pittsburgh Panthers drought cost

1 drought • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State Nittany Lions

3
1st Halfnotable

Score: 17 → 20 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Freddie Dilione V makes 24-foot three point jumper (Kayden Mingo assists)

3-Pointer

3:34

4.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 20 → 21 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Josh Reed makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:31

6.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 6 → 8 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Freddie Dilione V makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:23

10.0 pts

Pittsburgh Panthers

Pittsburgh Panthers

1
2nd HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 41 → 42 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Roman Siulepa makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

5:36

8.0 pts