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Monday, December 29, 2025

Penn State Nittany LionsPenn State Nittany Lions

90

vs
North Carolina Central EaglesNorth Carolina Central Eagles

67

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Penn State Nittany Lions

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~13→14

+1

North Carolina Central Eagles

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:54

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~18→23

+5

Penn State Nittany Lions averages 1 droughts/game  · North Carolina Central Eagles forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Penn State Nittany Lions droughts

2

North Carolina Central Eagles droughts

4:51

Longest drought

Penn State Nittany Lions

37

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

North Carolina Central Eagles drought cost

2 droughts • 23 pts drought cost

23

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Penn State Nittany Lions drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State Nittany Lions

2
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 6 → 8 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Freddie Dilione V makes 12-foot jumper

2-Pointer

4:51

8.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 34 → 36 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Freddie Dilione V makes 12-foot jumper (Kayden Mingo assists)

2-Pointer

3:08

6.0 pts

North Carolina Central Eagles

North Carolina Central Eagles

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 57 → 60 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Tekao Carpenter makes 23-foot three point jumper (Dionte Johnson assists)

3-Pointer

3:46

10.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 17 → 19 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Khouri Carvey makes layup

2-Pointer

3:38

13.0 pts