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Saturday, February 14, 2026
Conference gameDrought outlookSeason rates vs final result
Oregon Ducks
High confidence2
est. droughts
3:48
avg duration
8
pts/drought
est. 12 pts ceded/game
Final results
✓ Better than expectedDroughts
~2→1
-1
Pts ceded
~12→8
-4
Penn State Nittany Lions
High confidence2
est. droughts
4:02
avg duration
9
pts/drought
est. 14 pts ceded/game
Final results
✗ Expected a drought, none occurredDroughts
~2→0
-2
Pts ceded
~14→0
-14
Oregon Ducks averages 2 droughts/game · Penn State Nittany Lions forces 1 opp. droughts/game
1
Total droughts
Both teams combined
1
Oregon Ducks droughts
0
Penn State Nittany Lions droughts
3:08
Longest drought
Oregon Ducks
8
Drought point swing
Total drought cost (pts)
Oregon Ducks drought cost
1 drought • 8 pts drought cost
8
Drought cost (pts)
Actual point differential change
Game timeline
All droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Oregon Ducks
11H → 2Hnotable
Score: 38 → 41 · Opponent scored 8 pts
Ended by: Takai Simpkins makes 24-foot three point jumper (Sean Stewart assists)
3-Pointer3:08
8.0 pts
Penn State Nittany Lions
0No notable droughts