Home

Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Penn State Nittany Lions

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:02

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~16→11

-5

Michigan Wolverines

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

3:43

avg duration

6

pts/drought

est. 3 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~3→12

+9

Penn State Nittany Lions averages 1 droughts/game  · Michigan Wolverines forces 2 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Penn State Nittany Lions droughts

1

Michigan Wolverines droughts

5:02

Longest drought

Penn State Nittany Lions

23

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Michigan Wolverines drought cost

1 drought • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Penn State Nittany Lions drought cost

1 drought • 11 pts drought cost

11

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State Nittany Lions

1
1st Halfcritical

Score: 12 → 14 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Freddie Dilione V makes 14-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

5:02

11.0 pts

Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 63 → 65 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: Aday Mara makes 1-foot alley oop dunk (Yaxel Lendeborg assists)

2-Pointer

3:46

12.0 pts