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UC Davis Aggies

UC Davis Aggies

Big WestOTHER

2025-26 Drought Profile · 27 games played · 18-14 (56%)

UC Davis Aggies ranks 10th of 11 Big West teams in droughts per game (1.96 dpg, above the Big West average of 1.72). Their droughts average 3:53 — near the Big West norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 6.8 pts per drought, contributing to 9 influenced losses (3 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

1.96

Conf avg: 1.7 · #10 of 11 in Big West

10th in Big West

+0.24/game vs Big West avg

#10 in Big West (11 teams)

Avg Duration

3:53

Conf avg: 232.0 · #8 of 11 in Big West

+0:02 vs Big West avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

6.8

Conf avg: 7.3 · #5 of 11 in Big West

-0.6 pts vs Big West avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

9

3 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

13%

Coach called a timeout in 7 of 53 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

5-11

vs 13-3 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 2.0 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 53 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
37
droughts · avg 3:57
2nd Half
16
droughts · avg 3:44
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
38
72% of droughts
5.9 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
7
13% of droughts
6.9 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
8
15% of droughts
10.9 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
5.9 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
6.9 pts
Critical (5+ min)
10.9 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 85% more points than notable ones (10.9 vs 5.9 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(26%)2-PT(51%)FT(23%)
3-Ptr (14, 26%)2-Ptr (27, 51%)FT (12, 23%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 12
Cal State Fullerton Titans@ Cal State Fullerton Titans
L 70–82
Mar 11
UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
W 79–73
Mar 7
UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine Anteaters
L 69–79
Mar 5
Long Beach State Beach@ Long Beach State Beach
W 76–70
Feb 26
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriorsvs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
L 73–77
Feb 21
UC Riverside Highlanders@ UC Riverside Highlanders
W 78–73
Feb 19
Cal State Fullerton Titans@ Cal State Fullerton Titans
L 92–93
Feb 14
Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State Beach
W 71–54
Feb 12
UC San Diego Tritons@ UC San Diego Tritons
L 51–68
Feb 7
Cal Poly Mustangsvs Cal Poly Mustangs
W 67–58
Feb 5
UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
W 85–75
Jan 31
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners@ Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
W 80–72
Jan 29
Cal State Northridge Matadors@ Cal State Northridge Matadors
L 78–94
Jan 24
UC Riverside Highlandersvs UC Riverside Highlanders
W 74–66
Jan 22
UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego Tritons
L 74–80
Jan 17
UC Irvine Anteatersvs UC Irvine Anteaters
W 75–72
Jan 15
Cal State Fullerton Titansvs Cal State Fullerton Titans
W 74–69
Jan 10
Cal Poly Mustangs@ Cal Poly Mustangs
L 78–84
Jan 8
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos@ UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
W 93–86
Jan 3
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersvs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners
L 79–81
Jan 1
Cal State Northridge Matadorsvs Cal State Northridge Matadors
W 89–80
Dec 28
vs Pacific Union PACIFIC UNION
W 108–52
Dec 21
Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State Bengals
W 93–83
Dec 17
Seattle U Redhawksvs Seattle U Redhawks
L 78–79
Dec 13
Oregon Ducks@ Oregon Ducks
L 62–104
Dec 4
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors@ Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
L 69–75
Nov 24
Louisiana Ragin' Cajunsvs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
W 77–56
Nov 21
Colorado Buffaloes@ Colorado Buffaloes
L 79–95
Nov 18
Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf Pack
W 75–71
Nov 14
Sacramento State Hornetsvs Sacramento State Hornets
W 77–73
Nov 9
Portland Pilots@ Portland Pilots
L 63–67
Nov 5
North Dakota State Bisonvs North Dakota State Bison
W 80–68
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 12Cal State Fullerton Titans@ Cal State Fullerton TitansL 82-70
2
Mar 11UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara GauchosW 79-73
1
Mar 7UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine AnteatersL 79-69
3
Mar 5Long Beach State Beach@ Long Beach State BeachW 70-76
2
Feb 26Hawai'i Rainbow Warriorsvs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 73-77
3
Feb 21UC Riverside Highlanders@ UC Riverside HighlandersW 73-78
1
Feb 19Cal State Fullerton Titans@ Cal State Fullerton TitansL 93-920
Feb 14Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State BeachW 71-54
2
Feb 12UC San Diego Tritons@ UC San Diego TritonsL 68-51
4
Feb 7Cal Poly Mustangsvs Cal Poly MustangsW 67-58
2
Feb 5UC Santa Barbara Gauchosvs UC Santa Barbara GauchosW 85-750
Jan 31Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners@ Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersW 72-80
1
Jan 29Cal State Northridge Matadors@ Cal State Northridge MatadorsL 94-78
4
Jan 24UC Riverside Highlandersvs UC Riverside HighlandersW 74-66
1
Jan 22UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego TritonsL 74-80
2
Jan 17UC Irvine Anteatersvs UC Irvine AnteatersW 75-72
4
Jan 15Cal State Fullerton Titansvs Cal State Fullerton TitansW 74-69
1
Jan 10Cal Poly Mustangs@ Cal Poly MustangsL 84-78
2
Jan 8UC Santa Barbara Gauchos@ UC Santa Barbara GauchosW 86-93
1
Jan 3Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersvs Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersL 79-81
1
Jan 1Cal State Northridge Matadorsvs Cal State Northridge MatadorsW 89-80
1
Dec 28vs Pacific Union PACIFIC UNIONW 108-52
1
Dec 21Idaho State Bengals@ Idaho State BengalsW 83-930
Dec 17Seattle U Redhawksvs Seattle U RedhawksL 78-79
2
Dec 13Oregon Ducks@ Oregon DucksL 104-62
2
Dec 4Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors@ Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 75-69
3
Nov 24Louisiana Ragin' Cajunsvs Louisiana Ragin' CajunsW 77-560
Nov 21Colorado Buffaloes@ Colorado BuffaloesL 95-790
Nov 18Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf PackW 71-75
1
Nov 14Sacramento State Hornetsvs Sacramento State HornetsW 77-73
1
Nov 9Portland Pilots@ Portland PilotsL 67-63
3
Nov 5North Dakota State Bisonvs North Dakota State BisonW 80-68
2
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors@ Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 69-75Dec 4
24 pts allowed during 3 droughts (32% of 6-pt margin)
Major Factor
Portland Pilots@ Portland PilotsL 63-67Nov 9
22 pts allowed during 3 droughts (32.8% of 4-pt margin)
Major Factor
UC Irvine Anteaters@ UC Irvine AnteatersL 69-79Mar 7
20 pts allowed during 3 droughts (25.3% of 10-pt margin)
Major Factor
Seattle U Redhawksvs Seattle U RedhawksL 78-79Dec 17
19 pts allowed during 2 droughts (24.1% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriorsvs Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsL 73-77Feb 26
17 pts allowed during 3 droughts (22.1% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Cal Poly Mustangs@ Cal Poly MustangsL 78-84Jan 10
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.5% of 6-pt margin)
Significant Factor
UC San Diego Tritonsvs UC San Diego TritonsL 74-80Jan 22
9 pts allowed during 2 droughts (11.3% of 6-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunnersvs Cal State Bakersfield RoadrunnersL 79-81Jan 3
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.9% of 2-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Cal State Fullerton Titans@ Cal State Fullerton TitansL 70-82Mar 12
8 pts allowed during 2 droughts (9.8% of 12-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended UC Davis Aggies scoring droughts this season.
1
NC
Nils Cooper
38% clutchⓘ
8
2
MW
Marcus Wilson
38% clutchⓘ
8
3
NR
Niko Rocak
29% clutchⓘ
7
4
IC
Isaiah Chappell
17% clutchⓘ
6
5
CS
Connor Sevilla
33% clutchⓘ
6
6
OS
Omer Suljanovic
17% clutchⓘ
6
7
BF
Brayden Fagbemi
60% clutchⓘ
5
8
CJ
Carl Daughtery Jr.
50% clutchⓘ
4
9
CR
Chase Rawlins
2
3PT
2PT
FT