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Thursday, January 29, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Cal State Northridge Matadors

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~8→3

-5

UC Davis Aggies

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~11→28

+17

Cal State Northridge Matadors averages 1 droughts/game  · UC Davis Aggies forces 1 opp. droughts/game

6

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Cal State Northridge Matadors droughts

4

UC Davis Aggies droughts

3:56

Longest drought

UC Davis Aggies

31

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Cal State Northridge Matadors drought cost

2 droughts • 3 pts drought cost

3

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UC Davis Aggies drought cost

4 droughts • 28 pts drought cost

28

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal State Northridge Matadors

Cal State Northridge Matadors

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 39 → 41 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Josiah Davis makes layup (Joshua O'Garro assists)

2-Pointer

3:20

0.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 15 → 17 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Mahmoud Fofana makes layup (Josiah Davis assists)

2-Pointer

3:10

3.0 pts

UC Davis Aggies

UC Davis Aggies

4
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 66 → 68 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jalen Stokes makes layup (Brayden Fagbemi assists)

2-Pointer

3:56

4.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 41 → 43 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Marcus Wilson makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:50

4.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 48 → 49 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Connor Sevilla makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:41

11.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 23 → 26 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Isaiah Chappell makes 28-foot three point jumper (Carl Daughtery Jr. assists)

3-Pointer

3:14

9.0 pts