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Thursday, January 29, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Cal State Northridge Matadors

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final Results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~12

+1

Pts Ceded

~113

-8

UC Davis Aggies

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 13 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~24

+2

Pts Ceded

~1328

+15

Cal State Northridge Matadors averages 2 droughts/game  · UC Davis Aggies forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

6

Both teams combined

Cal State Northridge Matadors Droughts

2

UC Davis Aggies Droughts

4

Longest Drought

3:56

UC Davis Aggies

Drought Point Swing

31

Total unanswered points during droughts

2 droughts3 unanswered points allowed

3.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

UC Davis Aggies Drought Impact

4 droughts28 unanswered points allowed

28.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal State Northridge Matadors

Cal State Northridge Matadors

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 3941 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Josiah Davis makes layup (Joshua O'Garro assists)

2-Pointer

3:20

7.8 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 1517 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Mahmoud Fofana makes layup (Josiah Davis assists)

2-Pointer

3:10

10.4 opp pts

UC Davis Aggies

UC Davis Aggies

4
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 6668 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jalen Stokes makes layup (Brayden Fagbemi assists)

2-Pointer

3:56

11.7 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 4143 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Marcus Wilson makes driving layup

2-Pointer

3:50

11.5 opp pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 4849 · Opponent scored 11 pts

Ended by: Connor Sevilla makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:41

18.2 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 2326 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Isaiah Chappell makes 28-foot three point jumper (Carl Daughtery Jr. assists)

3-Pointer

3:14

15.3 opp pts