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Saturday, January 10, 2026

Conference game
Cal Poly MustangsCal Poly Mustangs

84

vs
UC Davis AggiesUC Davis Aggies

78

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

Cal Poly Mustangs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

4:15

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Predicted drought, none occurred

Droughts

~1→0

-1

Pts ceded

~9→0

-9

UC Davis Aggies

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~10→13

+3

Cal Poly Mustangs averages 1 droughts/game  · UC Davis Aggies forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

0

Cal Poly Mustangs droughts

2

UC Davis Aggies droughts

3:16

Longest drought

UC Davis Aggies

13

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

UC Davis Aggies drought cost

2 droughts • 13 pts drought cost

13

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Cal Poly Mustangs

Cal Poly Mustangs

0

No notable droughts

UC Davis Aggies

UC Davis Aggies

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 22 → 23 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Brayden Fagbemi makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:16

6.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 40 → 43 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Marcus Wilson makes 24-foot three point jumper (Isaiah Chappell assists)

3-Pointer

3:05

7.0 pts