Saturday, February 7, 2026
Conference gameDrought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results
UC Davis Aggies
High confidence1
est. droughts
3:53
avg duration
7
pts/drought
est. 10 pts ceded/game
Final results
~ Worse than predictedDroughts
+1
Pts ceded
+3
Cal Poly Mustangs
High confidence1
est. droughts
4:15
avg duration
8
pts/drought
est. 9 pts ceded/game
Final results
✗ Much worse than predictedDroughts
+2
Pts ceded
+14
UC Davis Aggies averages 2 droughts/game · Cal Poly Mustangs forces 1 opp. droughts/game
5
Total droughts
Both teams combined
2
UC Davis Aggies droughts
3
Cal Poly Mustangs droughts
5:48
Longest drought
Cal Poly Mustangs
36
Drought point swing
Total drought cost (pts)
Cal Poly Mustangs drought cost
3 droughts • 23 pts drought cost
23
Drought cost (pts)
Actual point differential change
UC Davis Aggies drought cost
2 droughts • 13 pts drought cost
13
Drought cost (pts)
Actual point differential change
Game timeline
All droughts
UC Davis Aggies
2Score: 6 → 7 · Opponent scored 7 pts
Ended by: Marcus Wilson makes free throw 1 of 2
Free Throw5:32
7.0 pts
Score: 17 → 19 · Opponent scored 6 pts
Ended by: Niko Rocak makes layup (Marcus Wilson assists)
2-Pointer5:11
6.0 pts
Cal Poly Mustangs
3Score: 22 → 25 · Opponent scored 6 pts
Ended by: Cayden Ward makes 25-foot three point jumper
3-Pointer5:48
6.0 pts
Score: 54 → 55 · Opponent scored 11 pts
Ended by: Peter Bandelj makes free throw 1 of 2
Free Throw5:06
11.0 pts
Score: 3 → 6 · Opponent scored 6 pts
Ended by: Jess Esso Essis makes 27-foot three point jumper (Peter Bandelj assists)
3-Pointer4:33
6.0 pts