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Thursday, January 1, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UC Davis Aggies

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~11→3

-8

Cal State Northridge Matadors

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→13

+5

UC Davis Aggies averages 2 droughts/game  · Cal State Northridge Matadors forces 1 opp. droughts/game

2

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

UC Davis Aggies droughts

1

Cal State Northridge Matadors droughts

4:29

Longest drought

Cal State Northridge Matadors

16

Drought point swing

Total unanswered points during droughts

Cal State Northridge Matadors drought impact

1 drought • 13 unanswered points allowed

13

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

UC Davis Aggies drought impact

1 drought • 3 unanswered points allowed

3

Points allowed during droughts

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UC Davis Aggies

UC Davis Aggies

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 9 → 11 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Carl Daughtery Jr. makes layup (Nils Cooper assists)

2-Pointer

3:11

10.1 opp pts

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Cal State Northridge Matadors

1
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 19 → 20 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Larry Hughes II makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:29

22.0 opp pts