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Sunday, December 28, 2025

Drought outlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UC Davis Aggies

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than predicted

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~9→6

-3

Pacific Union PACIFIC UNION

High confidence

3

est. droughts

5:28

avg duration

14

pts/drought

est. 39 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As predicted

Droughts

~3→3

+0

Pts ceded

~39→41

+2

UC Davis Aggies averages 2 droughts/game  · Pacific Union PACIFIC UNION forces 1 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

UC Davis Aggies droughts

3

Pacific Union PACIFIC UNION droughts

9:13

Longest drought

Pacific Union PACIFIC UNION

47

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Pacific Union PACIFIC UNION drought cost

3 droughts • 41 pts drought cost

41

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

UC Davis Aggies drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UC Davis Aggies

UC Davis Aggies

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 34 → 35 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Chase Rawlins makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:10

6.0 pts

Pacific Union PACIFIC UNION

3
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 6 → 9 · Opponent scored 23 pts

Ended by: Ramone Bailey makes 23-foot three point jumper (Kaden Bean assists)

3-Pointer

9:13

23.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 4 → 6 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: Isaiah Smith makes layup (Lorenzo Lentini assists)

2-Pointer

3:38

5.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 22 → 25 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Lorenzo Lentini makes 24-foot three point jumper (Ramone Bailey assists)

3-Pointer

3:33

13.0 pts