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Air Force Falcons

Air Force Falcons

Mountain WestG5

2025-26 Drought Profile · 29 games played · 3-28 (10%)

Air Force Falcons ranks 12th of 12 Mountain West teams in droughts per game (2.17 dpg, above the Mountain West average of 1.71). Their droughts average 4:13 — +0:20 above the Mountain West norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 8.6 pts per drought, contributing to 8 influenced losses (1 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

2.17

Conf avg: 1.8 · #12 of 12 in Mountain West

12th in Mountain West

+0.46/game vs Mountain West avg

#12 in Mountain West (12 teams)

Avg Duration

4:13

Conf avg: 234.8 · #12 of 12 in Mountain West

+0:20 vs Mountain West avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

8.6

Conf avg: 7.3 · #11 of 12 in Mountain West

+1.4 pts vs Mountain West avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

8

1 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

30%

Coach called a timeout in 19 of 63 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

0-20

vs 3-8 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 2.2 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 63 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
40
droughts · avg 4:22
2nd Half
23
droughts · avg 3:58
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
35
56% of droughts
7 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
16
25% of droughts
8.2 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
12
19% of droughts
13.8 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
7 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.2 pts
Critical (5+ min)
13.8 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 97% more points than notable ones (13.8 vs 7 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(24%)2-PT(60%)FT(16%)
3-Ptr (15, 24%)2-Ptr (38, 60%)FT (10, 16%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 11
Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf Pack
L 45–80
Mar 7
Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf Pack
L 59–74
Mar 3
Grand Canyon Lopesvs Grand Canyon Lopes
L 60–86
Feb 28
Wyoming Cowboys@ Wyoming Cowboys
L 62–66
Feb 24
San José State Spartansvs San José State Spartans
L 80–86
Feb 21
UNLV Rebelsvs UNLV Rebels
L 66–91
Feb 17
New Mexico Lobos@ New Mexico Lobos
L 61–98
Feb 14
Fresno State Bulldogs@ Fresno State Bulldogs
L 63–93
Feb 10
Colorado State Ramsvs Colorado State Rams
L 74–91
Feb 7
San Diego State Aztecsvs San Diego State Aztecs
L 54–88
Feb 3
Grand Canyon Lopes@ Grand Canyon Lopes
L 57–81
Jan 31
Fresno State Bulldogsvs Fresno State Bulldogs
L 62–79
Jan 24
Boise State Broncos@ Boise State Broncos
L 54–96
Jan 20
Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State Rams
L 52–81
Jan 17
Nevada Wolf Packvs Nevada Wolf Pack
L 66–81
Jan 13
San José State Spartans@ San José State Spartans
L 62–70
Jan 10
New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico Lobos
L 49–91
Jan 6
Utah State Aggiesvs Utah State Aggies
L 62–99
Jan 3
UNLV Rebels@ UNLV Rebels
L 39–67
Dec 30
Wyoming Cowboysvs Wyoming Cowboys
L 56–68
Dec 17
San Diego State Aztecs@ San Diego State Aztecs
L 58–81
Dec 7
Navy Midshipmen@ Navy Midshipmen
L 56–61
Dec 3
Pacific Tigersvs Pacific Tigers
L 65–80
Nov 29
South Dakota Coyotes@ South Dakota Coyotes
L 63–80
Nov 26
Northern Colorado Bearsvs Northern Colorado Bears
L 53–71
Nov 23
IU Indianapolis Jaguarsvs IU Indianapolis Jaguars
W 98–85
Nov 21
SIU Edwardsville Cougarsvs SIU Edwardsville Cougars
W 77–63
Nov 19
Alabama State Hornetsvs Alabama State Hornets
W 66–64
Nov 15
Miami (OH) RedHawksvs Miami (OH) RedHawks
L 61–76
Nov 11
Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University Sharks
L 72–76
Nov 8
Austin Peay Governorsvs Austin Peay Governors
L 54–74
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 11Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf PackL 80-45
1
Mar 7Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf PackL 74-59
1
Mar 3Grand Canyon Lopesvs Grand Canyon LopesL 60-86
2
Feb 28Wyoming Cowboys@ Wyoming CowboysL 66-62
2
Feb 24San José State Spartansvs San José State SpartansL 80-86
1
Feb 21UNLV Rebelsvs UNLV RebelsL 66-91
2
Feb 17New Mexico Lobos@ New Mexico LobosL 98-61
1
Feb 14Fresno State Bulldogs@ Fresno State BulldogsL 93-63
1
Feb 10Colorado State Ramsvs Colorado State RamsL 74-910
Feb 7San Diego State Aztecsvs San Diego State AztecsL 54-88
3
Feb 3Grand Canyon Lopes@ Grand Canyon LopesL 81-57
3
Jan 31Fresno State Bulldogsvs Fresno State BulldogsL 62-79
3
Jan 24Boise State Broncos@ Boise State BroncosL 96-54
4
Jan 20Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State RamsL 81-52
3
Jan 17Nevada Wolf Packvs Nevada Wolf PackL 66-81
2
Jan 13San José State Spartans@ San José State SpartansL 70-62
2
Jan 10New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico LobosL 49-91
3
Jan 6Utah State Aggiesvs Utah State AggiesL 62-99
3
Jan 3UNLV Rebels@ UNLV RebelsL 67-39
5
Dec 30Wyoming Cowboysvs Wyoming CowboysL 56-68
2
Dec 17San Diego State Aztecs@ San Diego State AztecsL 81-58
1
Dec 7Navy Midshipmen@ Navy MidshipmenL 61-56
2
Dec 3Pacific Tigersvs Pacific TigersL 65-80
2
Nov 29South Dakota Coyotes@ South Dakota CoyotesL 80-63
2
Nov 26Northern Colorado Bearsvs Northern Colorado BearsL 53-71
4
Nov 23IU Indianapolis Jaguarsvs IU Indianapolis JaguarsW 98-85
1
Nov 21SIU Edwardsville Cougarsvs SIU Edwardsville CougarsW 77-630
Nov 19Alabama State Hornetsvs Alabama State HornetsW 66-64
1
Nov 15Miami (OH) RedHawksvs Miami (OH) RedHawksL 61-76
2
Nov 11Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University SharksL 72-76
1
Nov 8Austin Peay Governorsvs Austin Peay GovernorsL 54-74
3
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
Nevada Wolf Packvs Nevada Wolf PackL 66-81Jan 17
30 pts allowed during 2 droughts (37% of 15-pt margin)
Major Factor
Miami (OH) RedHawksvs Miami (OH) RedHawksL 61-76Nov 15
17 pts allowed during 2 droughts (22.4% of 15-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Pacific Tigersvs Pacific TigersL 65-80Dec 3
17 pts allowed during 2 droughts (21.3% of 15-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Navy Midshipmen@ Navy MidshipmenL 56-61Dec 7
15 pts allowed during 2 droughts (24.6% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
San José State Spartans@ San José State SpartansL 62-70Jan 13
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (18.6% of 8-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Wyoming Cowboysvs Wyoming CowboysL 56-68Dec 30
13 pts allowed during 2 droughts (19.1% of 12-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Wyoming Cowboys@ Wyoming CowboysL 62-66Feb 28
12 pts allowed during 2 droughts (18.2% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
San José State Spartansvs San José State SpartansL 80-86Feb 24
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (9.3% of 6-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Air Force Falcons scoring droughts this season.
1
EG
Ethan Greenberg
0% clutchⓘ
12
2
CW
Caleb Walker
10% clutchⓘ
10
3
LH
Lucas Hobin
20% clutchⓘ
10
4
ER
Eli Robinson
11% clutchⓘ
9
5
KS
Kam Sanders
0% clutchⓘ
7
6
WC
Wesley Celichowski
0% clutchⓘ
5
7
KG
Kolby Gilles
0% clutchⓘ
4
8
RD
Riley Dering
2
3PT
2PT
FT