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Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Conference game
Air Force FalconsAir Force Falcons

60

vs
Grand Canyon LopesGrand Canyon Lopes

86

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Air Force Falcons

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:13

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 26 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts ceded

~26→18

-8

Grand Canyon Lopes

Moderate confidence

1

est. droughts

4:04

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Unexpected drought

Droughts

~1→2

+1

Pts ceded

~9→8

-1

Air Force Falcons averages 2 droughts/game  · Grand Canyon Lopes forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Air Force Falcons droughts

2

Grand Canyon Lopes droughts

5:35

Longest drought

Air Force Falcons

26

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Air Force Falcons drought cost

2 droughts • 18 pts drought cost

18

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Grand Canyon Lopes drought cost

2 droughts • 8 pts drought cost

8

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Air Force Falcons

Air Force Falcons

2
1st HalfcriticalTO called

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 14 pts

Ended by: Kam Sanders makes 15-foot jumper

2-Pointer

5:35

14.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 6 → 8 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Kam Sanders makes 15-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:27

4.0 pts

Grand Canyon Lopes

Grand Canyon Lopes

2
2nd Halfnotable

Score: 83 → 86 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Cole Pepe makes 22-foot three point jumper (Evan Boisdur assists)

3-Pointer

3:15

4.0 pts

1H → 2Hnotable

Score: 43 → 44 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Jaden Henley makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:14

4.0 pts