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Saturday, January 3, 2026

Conference Game
Drought OutlookPre-game prediction vs final results

UNLV Rebels

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:47

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 14 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~23

+1

Pts Ceded

~1411

-3

Air Force Falcons

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:13

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 16 pts ceded/game

Final Results

Much worse than predicted

Droughts

~25

+3

Pts Ceded

~1638

+22

UNLV Rebels averages 2 droughts/game  · Air Force Falcons forces 1 opp. droughts/game

Total Droughts

8

Both teams combined

UNLV Rebels Droughts

3

Air Force Falcons Droughts

5

Longest Drought

6:35

Air Force Falcons

Drought Point Swing

49

Total unanswered points during droughts

Air Force Falcons Drought Impact

5 droughts38 unanswered points allowed

38.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

UNLV Rebels Drought Impact

3 droughts11 unanswered points allowed

11.0

Points Allowed During Droughts

Actual point differential change

Game Timeline
All Droughts
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
UNLV Rebels

UNLV Rebels

3
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 810 · Opponent scored 4 pts

Ended by: Howie Fleming Jr. makes 14-foot jumper (Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn assists)

2-Pointer

4:27

11.5 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 3840 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Tyrin Jones makes 1-foot dunk

2-Pointer

3:08

5.2 opp pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 4951 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Issac Williamson makes layup (Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn assists)

2-Pointer

3:06

12.2 opp pts

Air Force Falcons

Air Force Falcons

5
1H → 2HcriticalTO called

Score: 2023 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Lucas Hobin makes 25-foot three point jumper (Caleb Walker assists)

3-Pointer

6:35

16.4 opp pts

1st Halfsignificant

Score: 1920 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Wesley Celichowski makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

4:12

13.1 opp pts

2nd HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 3638 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Wesley Celichowski makes layup

2-Pointer

4:04

13.0 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 68 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Lucas Hobin makes 10-foot jumper (Wesley Celichowski assists)

2-Pointer

3:39

13.6 opp pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 46 · Opponent scored 0 pts

Ended by: Caleb Walker makes layup (A.J. Patterson assists)

2-Pointer

3:25

3.3 opp pts