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Sunday, December 7, 2025

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Navy Midshipmen

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:42

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→4

+3

Pts ceded

~8→20

+12

Air Force Falcons

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:13

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 29 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~3→2

-1

Pts ceded

~29→15

-14

Navy Midshipmen averages 1 droughts/game  · Air Force Falcons forces 1 opp. droughts/game

6

Total droughts

Both teams combined

4

Navy Midshipmen droughts

2

Air Force Falcons droughts

4:43

Longest drought

Air Force Falcons

35

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Air Force Falcons drought cost

2 droughts • 15 pts drought cost

15

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Navy Midshipmen drought cost

4 droughts • 20 pts drought cost

20

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Navy Midshipmen

Navy Midshipmen

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 6 → 8 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Aidan Kehoe made Layup.

2-Pointer

4:27

8.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 28 → 29 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Austin Benigni made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:41

7.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 3 → 6 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Jinwoo Kim made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Aidan Kehoe.

3-Pointer

3:25

3.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 26 → 28 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Austin Benigni made Jumper. Assisted by Mike Woods.

2-Pointer

3:19

2.0 pts

Air Force Falcons

Air Force Falcons

2
2nd Halfsignificant

Score: 30 → 32 · Opponent scored 2 pts

Ended by: Caleb Walker made Layup. Assisted by Kam Sanders.

2-Pointer

4:43

2.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 41 → 44 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Kam Sanders made Three Point Jumper. Assisted by Wesley Celichowski.

3-Pointer

3:19

13.0 pts