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Wednesday, November 26, 2025

Air Force FalconsAir Force Falcons

53

vs
Northern Colorado BearsNorthern Colorado Bears

71

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Air Force Falcons

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:13

avg duration

9

pts/drought

est. 18 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~2→4

+2

Pts ceded

~18→30

+12

Northern Colorado Bears

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:51

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 8 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~8→6

-2

Air Force Falcons averages 2 droughts/game  · Northern Colorado Bears forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

4

Air Force Falcons droughts

1

Northern Colorado Bears droughts

4:27

Longest drought

Air Force Falcons

36

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Air Force Falcons drought cost

4 droughts • 30 pts drought cost

30

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Northern Colorado Bears drought cost

1 drought • 6 pts drought cost

6

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Air Force Falcons

Air Force Falcons

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 20 → 22 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Caleb Walker made Dunk. Assisted by Eli Robinson.

2-Pointer

4:27

9.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 48 → 49 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Caleb Walker made Free Throw.

Free Throw

3:46

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 6 → 8 · Opponent scored 3 pts

Ended by: Wesley Celichowski made Layup.

2-Pointer

3:24

3.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 51 → 53 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Eli Robinson made Layup. Assisted by Caleb Walker.

2-Pointer

3:16

9.0 pts

Northern Colorado Bears

Northern Colorado Bears

1
1st HalfsignificantTO called

Score: 9 → 10 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Brock Wisne made Free Throw.

Free Throw

4:26

6.0 pts