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San Diego State Aztecs

San Diego State Aztecs

PAC12OTHER

2025-26 drought profile · 33 games played · 22-11 (67%)

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San Diego State Aztecs ranks 4th of 9 PAC12 teams in droughts per game (1.27 dpg, above the PAC12 average of 1.26). Their droughts average 3:44 (0:08 below the PAC12 norm) and have allowed opponents an average of 6.9 pts per drought, contributing to 6 influenced losses (1 decisive/major) in 2025-26.

Drought profile

1.27

Droughts/game

Conf avg: 1.3 · #4 of 9 in PAC12

4th in PAC12

+0.01/game vs PAC12 avg

#4 in PAC12 (9 teams)

3:44

Avg duration

Conf avg: 3:51 · #1 of 9 in PAC12

-0:08 vs PAC12 avg

How long cold streaks typically last

6.9

Avg drought cost

Conf avg: 7.1 · #2 of 9 in PAC12

-0.2 pts vs PAC12 avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game impact

6

Influenced losses

1 decisive/major: close losses where droughts swung the margin

19%

Timeout rate

Coach called a timeout in 8 of 42 droughts

5-8

Record w/ 2+ droughts

vs 17-3 in games with 0 to 1 droughts

Drought trend, 2025-26

Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 1.3 droughts/game.

When droughts happen

Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 42 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.

Half breakdown

1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?

1st half
23
droughts · avg 3:50
2nd half
19
droughts · avg 3:37

Drought cost by severity

How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points. See if critical ones truly hurt more.

Notable (3–4 min)
29
69% of droughts
6.2 pts drought cost
Significant (4–5 min)
11
26% of droughts
8.1 pts drought cost
Critical (5+ min)
2
5% of droughts
11 pts drought cost

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
6.2 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
8.1 pts
Critical (5+ min)
11 pts

Key takeaway

Critical droughts allow 77% more points than notable ones (11 vs 6.2 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-ending shots

What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.

3-PT(15%)2-PT(53%)FT(33%)
3-pointer (6, 15%)2-pointer (21, 53%)FT (13, 33%)

Score differential by game

Every game plotted over 40 minutes: positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.

Mar 14
Utah State Aggies@ Utah State Aggies
L 62–73
Mar 13
New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico Lobos
W 64–62
Mar 12
Colorado State Ramsvs Colorado State Rams
W 71–62
Mar 6
UNLV Rebelsvs UNLV Rebels
W 89–86
Mar 3
Boise State Broncos@ Boise State Broncos
L 77–86
Feb 28
New Mexico Lobos@ New Mexico Lobos
L 76–81
Feb 25
Utah State Aggiesvs Utah State Aggies
W 89–72
Feb 21
Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State Rams
L 74–83
Feb 17
Grand Canyon Lopesvs Grand Canyon Lopes
L 63–73
Feb 14
Nevada Wolf Packvs Nevada Wolf Pack
W 71–57
Feb 7
Air Force Falcons@ Air Force Falcons
W 88–54
Feb 3
Wyoming Cowboysvs Wyoming Cowboys
W 72–63
Jan 31
Utah State Aggies@ Utah State Aggies
L 66–71
Jan 28
Colorado State Ramsvs Colorado State Rams
W 73–50
Jan 24
UNLV Rebels@ UNLV Rebels
W 82–71
Jan 21
Grand Canyon Lopes@ Grand Canyon Lopes
L 69–70
Jan 17
New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico Lobos
W 83–79
Jan 14
Wyoming Cowboys@ Wyoming Cowboys
W 74–57
Jan 10
Fresno State Bulldogsvs Fresno State Bulldogs
W 71–52
Jan 6
Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf Pack
W 73–68
Jan 3
Boise State Broncosvs Boise State Broncos
W 110–107
Dec 30
San José State Spartans@ San José State Spartans
W 81–68
Dec 22
vs Whittier Poets
W 121–59
Dec 20
Arizona Wildcats@ Arizona Wildcats
L 45–68
Dec 17
Air Force Falconsvs Air Force Falcons
W 81–58
Dec 10
Lamar Cardinalsvs Lamar Cardinals
W 89–71
Dec 3
Utah Valley Wolverinesvs Utah Valley Wolverines
W 77–66
Nov 26
Baylor Bearsvs Baylor Bears
L 81–91
Nov 25
Oregon Ducks@ Oregon Ducks
W 97–80
Nov 24
Michigan Wolverines@ Michigan Wolverines
L 54–94
Nov 18
Troy Trojansvs Troy Trojans
L 107–108
Nov 9
Idaho State Bengalsvs Idaho State Bengals
W 73–57
Nov 4
Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State Beach
W 77–45
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →

Game log

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 14Utah State Aggies@ Utah State AggiesL 73-62
2
Mar 13New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico LobosW 64-62
2
Mar 12Colorado State Ramsvs Colorado State RamsW 71-620
Mar 6UNLV Rebelsvs UNLV RebelsW 89-86
2
Mar 3Boise State Broncos@ Boise State BroncosL 86-77
2
Feb 28New Mexico Lobos@ New Mexico LobosL 81-760
Feb 25Utah State Aggiesvs Utah State AggiesW 89-720
Feb 21Colorado State Rams@ Colorado State RamsL 83-74
2
Feb 17Grand Canyon Lopesvs Grand Canyon LopesL 63-73
2
Feb 14Nevada Wolf Packvs Nevada Wolf PackW 71-57
1
Feb 7Air Force Falcons@ Air Force FalconsW 54-880
Feb 3Wyoming Cowboysvs Wyoming CowboysW 72-63
1
Jan 31Utah State Aggies@ Utah State AggiesL 71-66
2
Jan 28Colorado State Ramsvs Colorado State RamsW 73-50
1
Jan 24UNLV Rebels@ UNLV RebelsW 71-82
1
Jan 21Grand Canyon Lopes@ Grand Canyon LopesL 70-69
2
Jan 17New Mexico Lobosvs New Mexico LobosW 83-790
Jan 14Wyoming Cowboys@ Wyoming CowboysW 57-74
1
Jan 10Fresno State Bulldogsvs Fresno State BulldogsW 71-52
2
Jan 6Nevada Wolf Pack@ Nevada Wolf PackW 68-73
1
Jan 3Boise State Broncosvs Boise State BroncosW 110-107
1
Dec 30San José State Spartans@ San José State SpartansW 68-81
2
Dec 22vs Whittier PoetsW 121-590
Dec 20Arizona Wildcats@ Arizona WildcatsL 68-45
3
Dec 17Air Force Falconsvs Air Force FalconsW 81-58
1
Dec 10Lamar Cardinalsvs Lamar CardinalsW 89-71
1
Dec 3Utah Valley Wolverinesvs Utah Valley WolverinesW 77-66
2
Nov 26Baylor Bearsvs Baylor BearsL 81-91
1
Nov 25Oregon Ducks@ Oregon DucksW 80-97
1
Nov 24Michigan Wolverines@ Michigan WolverinesL 94-54
5
Nov 18Troy Trojansvs Troy TrojansL 107-1080
Nov 9Idaho State Bengalsvs Idaho State BengalsW 73-57
1
Nov 4Long Beach State Beachvs Long Beach State BeachW 77-450

Drought-influenced losses

Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Drought cost" = points the opponent scores during a drought.

Boise State Broncos@ Boise State BroncosL 77-86Mar 3
26 pts allowed during 2 droughts (30.2% of 9-pt margin)
Major Factor
Grand Canyon Lopes@ Grand Canyon LopesL 69-70Jan 21
17 pts allowed during 2 droughts (24.3% of 1-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Baylor Bearsvs Baylor BearsL 81-91Nov 26
12 pts allowed during 1 drought (13.2% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Utah State Aggies@ Utah State AggiesL 66-71Jan 31
11 pts allowed during 2 droughts (15.5% of 5-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Grand Canyon Lopesvs Grand Canyon LopesL 63-73Feb 17
10 pts allowed during 2 droughts (13.7% of 10-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Utah State Aggies@ Utah State AggiesL 62-73Mar 14
9 pts allowed during 2 droughts (12.3% of 11-pt margin)
Significant Factor

Drought killers

Players who most often ended San Diego State Aztecs scoring droughts in 2025-26.

1
BD
BJ Davis
25% clutchⓘ
8
2
RD
Reese Dixon-Waters
57% clutchⓘ
7
3
TS
Tae Simmons
33% clutchⓘ
6
4
EH
Elzie Harrington
40% clutchⓘ
5
5
MG
Magoon Gwath
50% clutchⓘ
4
6
TD
Taj DeGourville
67% clutchⓘ
3
7
JO
Jeremiah Oden
2
8
PC
Pharaoh Compton
2
3PT
2PT
FT