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Friday, March 13, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

San Diego State Aztecs

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 11 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~11→14

+3

New Mexico Lobos

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:42

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~9→10

+1

San Diego State Aztecs averages 1 droughts/game  · New Mexico Lobos forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

San Diego State Aztecs droughts

1

New Mexico Lobos droughts

4:12

Longest drought

New Mexico Lobos

24

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

New Mexico Lobos drought cost

1 drought • 10 pts drought cost

10

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

San Diego State Aztecs drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
San Diego State Aztecs

San Diego State Aztecs

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 11 → 12 · Opponent scored 5 pts

Ended by: BJ Davis makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:17

5.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 6 → 8 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Tae Simmons makes 7-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:02

9.0 pts

New Mexico Lobos

New Mexico Lobos

1
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 16 → 18 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Tomislav Buljan makes layup

2-Pointer

4:12

10.0 pts