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Saturday, February 14, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

San Diego State Aztecs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Better than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~10→7

-3

Nevada Wolf Pack

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:46

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→4

+3

Pts ceded

~9→37

+28

San Diego State Aztecs averages 1 droughts/game  · Nevada Wolf Pack forces 1 opp. droughts/game

5

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

San Diego State Aztecs droughts

4

Nevada Wolf Pack droughts

4:34

Longest drought

Nevada Wolf Pack

44

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Nevada Wolf Pack drought cost

4 droughts • 37 pts drought cost

37

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

San Diego State Aztecs drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
San Diego State Aztecs

San Diego State Aztecs

1
2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 38 → 41 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: BJ Davis makes 24-foot three point jumper

3-Pointer

3:10

7.0 pts

Nevada Wolf Pack

Nevada Wolf Pack

4
1st Halfsignificant

Score: 11 → 12 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Elijah Price makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

4:34

8.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 38 → 39 · Opponent scored 13 pts

Ended by: Elijah Price makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

3:41

13.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 6 → 9 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Corey Camper Jr. makes 25-foot three point jumper (Tyler Rolison assists)

3-Pointer

3:31

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 13 → 15 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Vaughn Weems makes 8-foot floating jump shot

2-Pointer

3:09

7.0 pts