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Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Conference game
Nevada Wolf PackNevada Wolf Pack

68

vs
San Diego State AztecsSan Diego State Aztecs

73

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Nevada Wolf Pack

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:46

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 9 pts ceded/game

Final results

✗ Much worse than expected

Droughts

~1→3

+2

Pts ceded

~9→24

+15

San Diego State Aztecs

High confidence

1

est. droughts

3:44

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 10 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~1→1

+0

Pts ceded

~10→12

+2

Nevada Wolf Pack averages 1 droughts/game  · San Diego State Aztecs forces 2 opp. droughts/game

4

Total droughts

Both teams combined

3

Nevada Wolf Pack droughts

1

San Diego State Aztecs droughts

4:10

Longest drought

Nevada Wolf Pack

36

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Nevada Wolf Pack drought cost

3 droughts • 24 pts drought cost

24

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

San Diego State Aztecs drought cost

1 drought • 12 pts drought cost

12

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Nevada Wolf Pack

Nevada Wolf Pack

3
1H → 2Hsignificant

Score: 36 → 37 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Elijah Price makes free throw 2 of 2

Free Throw

4:10

8.0 pts

2nd HalfnotableTO called

Score: 51 → 52 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Elijah Price makes free throw 1 of 2

Free Throw

3:07

6.0 pts

1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 23 → 26 · Opponent scored 10 pts

Ended by: Kaleb Lowery makes 23-foot three point jumper (Amire Robinson assists)

3-Pointer

3:04

10.0 pts

San Diego State Aztecs

San Diego State Aztecs

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 12 pts

Ended by: BJ Davis makes 10-foot jumper

2-Pointer

3:52

12.0 pts