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Mercyhurst Lakers

Mercyhurst Lakers

NECOTHER

2025-26 Drought Profile · 29 games played · 17-15 (52%)

Mercyhurst Lakers ranks 8th of 10 NEC teams in droughts per game (2.24 dpg, above the NEC average of 1.99). Their droughts average 3:530:09 below the NEC norm — and have allowed opponents an average of 6.5 pts per drought, contributing to 12 influenced losses (4 decisive/major) this season.

Drought Profile

Droughts/Game

2.24

Conf avg: 2.0 · #8 of 10 in NEC

8th in NEC

+0.25/game vs NEC avg

#8 in NEC (10 teams)

Avg Duration

3:53

Conf avg: 241.6 · #3 of 10 in NEC

-0:09 vs NEC avg

How long cold streaks typically last

Avg Pts Allowed

6.5

Conf avg: 7.4 · #1 of 10 in NEC

-0.9 pts vs NEC avg

Opponent points scored per drought

Game Impact

Influenced Losses

12

4 decisive/major — close losses where droughts swung the margin

Timeout Rate

22%

Coach called a timeout in 14 of 65 droughts

Record w/ 2+ Droughts

6-11

vs 11-5 in games with 0–1 droughts

Drought Trend This Season
Droughts per game over the season with a 3-game rolling average. Season average: 2.2 droughts/game.
When Droughts Happen
Shows when droughts begin in each 2-minute window throughout the game. Counts total to 65 droughts. Dashed line shows the conference average.
Half Breakdown
1st half vs 2nd half: does this team adjust at halftime or get worse?
1st Half
38
droughts · avg 3:56
2nd Half
27
droughts · avg 3:49
Drought Cost by Severity
How damaging are each tier of drought? Longer droughts allow more opponent points — see if critical ones truly hurt more.
Notable (3–4 min)
43
66% of droughts
5.5 pts allowed
Significant (4–5 min)
14
22% of droughts
7.6 pts allowed
Critical (5+ min)
8
12% of droughts
10.4 pts allowed

Avg. opponent points scored during drought

Notable (3–4 min)
5.5 pts
Significant (4–5 min)
7.6 pts
Critical (5+ min)
10.4 pts

Key Takeaway

Critical droughts allow 89% more points than notable ones (10.4 vs 5.5 pts). Longer droughts cost significantly more.

Drought-Ending Shots
What shot finally breaks the cold streak? Zone intensity = frequency.
3-PT(28%)2-PT(63%)FT(9%)
3-Ptr (18, 28%)2-Ptr (41, 63%)FT (6, 9%)
Score Differential by Game
Every game plotted over 40 minutes — positive = team leading, negative = trailing. Hover a game in the sidebar to highlight its path through the season.
Mar 10
Long Island University Sharks@ Long Island University Sharks
L 7079
Mar 7
Stonehill Skyhawksvs Stonehill Skyhawks
W 5651
Mar 4
Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsvs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
W 7061
Feb 28
Stonehill Skyhawks@ Stonehill Skyhawks
T 5555
Feb 26
Central Connecticut Blue Devils@ Central Connecticut Blue Devils
W 5248
Feb 21
Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University Sharks
W 9183
Feb 19
Wagner Seahawksvs Wagner Seahawks
L 8083
Feb 14
Saint Francis Red Flash@ Saint Francis Red Flash
W 9479
Feb 12
Le Moyne Dolphins@ Le Moyne Dolphins
L 5758
Feb 7
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights@ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
L 5255
Feb 5
Saint Francis Red Flashvs Saint Francis Red Flash
W 9889
Jan 31
Chicago State Cougars@ Chicago State Cougars
L 7478
Jan 29
New Haven Chargersvs New Haven Chargers
W 7051
Jan 25
Chicago State Cougarsvs Chicago State Cougars
W 6159
Jan 23
New Haven Chargers@ New Haven Chargers
W 6157
Jan 19
Central Connecticut Blue Devilsvs Central Connecticut Blue Devils
W 7961
Jan 17
Stonehill Skyhawksvs Stonehill Skyhawks
L 5762
Jan 10
Wagner Seahawks@ Wagner Seahawks
W 7069
Jan 8
Long Island University Sharks@ Long Island University Sharks
L 5860
Jan 4
Le Moyne Dolphinsvs Le Moyne Dolphins
W 7460
Jan 2
Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsvs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights
L 6774
Dec 20
Binghamton Bearcatsvs Binghamton Bearcats
W 8261
Dec 17
Syracuse Orange@ Syracuse Orange
L 6276
Dec 13
Davidson Wildcats@ Davidson Wildcats
L 4780
Dec 7
vs Bethany (WV) Bison
W 8051
Dec 5
Lafayette Leopards@ Lafayette Leopards
L 7179
Nov 30
West Virginia Mountaineers@ West Virginia Mountaineers
L 3870
Nov 23
Marshall Thundering Herd@ Marshall Thundering Herd
L 6069
Nov 20
Miami (OH) RedHawks@ Miami (OH) RedHawks
L 7176
Nov 15
Morgan State Bearsvs Morgan State Bears
W 8672
Nov 12
Canisius Golden Griffins@ Canisius Golden Griffins
L 5558
Nov 8
vs Penn State-New Kensington Lions
W 9343
Nov 6
Loyola Chicago Ramblers@ Loyola Chicago Ramblers
W 7365
← Opponent leading← Game time →Team leading →
Game Log
Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
DateOpponentScore (H-A)Droughts
Mar 10Long Island University Sharks@ Long Island University SharksL 79-70
1
Mar 7Stonehill Skyhawksvs Stonehill SkyhawksW 56-51
5
Mar 4Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsvs Fairleigh Dickinson KnightsW 70-61
3
Feb 28Stonehill Skyhawks@ Stonehill SkyhawksT 55-55
3
Feb 26Central Connecticut Blue Devils@ Central Connecticut Blue DevilsW 48-52
2
Feb 21Long Island University Sharksvs Long Island University SharksW 91-83
1
Feb 19Wagner Seahawksvs Wagner SeahawksL 80-83
2
Feb 14Saint Francis Red Flash@ Saint Francis Red FlashW 79-94
1
Feb 12Le Moyne Dolphins@ Le Moyne DolphinsL 58-57
4
Feb 7Fairleigh Dickinson Knights@ Fairleigh Dickinson KnightsL 55-52
1
Feb 5Saint Francis Red Flashvs Saint Francis Red FlashW 98-89
1
Jan 31Chicago State Cougars@ Chicago State CougarsL 78-74
2
Jan 29New Haven Chargersvs New Haven ChargersW 70-510
Jan 25Chicago State Cougarsvs Chicago State CougarsW 61-59
2
Jan 23New Haven Chargers@ New Haven ChargersW 57-61
3
Jan 19Central Connecticut Blue Devilsvs Central Connecticut Blue DevilsW 79-610
Jan 17Stonehill Skyhawksvs Stonehill SkyhawksL 57-62
3
Jan 10Wagner Seahawks@ Wagner SeahawksW 69-70
1
Jan 8Long Island University Sharks@ Long Island University SharksL 60-58
3
Jan 4Le Moyne Dolphinsvs Le Moyne DolphinsW 74-60
2
Jan 2Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsvs Fairleigh Dickinson KnightsL 67-74
2
Dec 20Binghamton Bearcatsvs Binghamton BearcatsW 82-61
1
Dec 17Syracuse Orange@ Syracuse OrangeL 76-62
1
Dec 13Davidson Wildcats@ Davidson WildcatsL 80-47
5
Dec 7vs Bethany (WV) BisonW 80-51
1
Dec 5Lafayette Leopards@ Lafayette LeopardsL 79-710
Nov 30West Virginia Mountaineers@ West Virginia MountaineersL 70-38
3
Nov 23Marshall Thundering Herd@ Marshall Thundering HerdL 69-60
4
Nov 20Miami (OH) RedHawks@ Miami (OH) RedHawksL 76-71
1
Nov 15Morgan State Bearsvs Morgan State BearsW 86-720
Nov 12Canisius Golden Griffins@ Canisius Golden GriffinsL 58-55
5
Nov 8vs Penn State-New Kensington LionsW 93-43
1
Nov 6Loyola Chicago Ramblers@ Loyola Chicago RamblersW 65-73
1
Drought-Influenced Losses
Close losses (≤15 pts) where droughts significantly impacted the outcome. "Defensive cost" = points allowed during drought periods.
31 pts allowed during 5 droughts (53.4% of 3-pt margin)
Decisive Factor
Le Moyne Dolphins@ Le Moyne DolphinsL 57-58Feb 12
30 pts allowed during 4 droughts (51.7% of 1-pt margin)
Decisive Factor
21 pts allowed during 4 droughts (30.4% of 9-pt margin)
Major Factor
16 pts allowed during 2 droughts (20.5% of 4-pt margin)
Significant Factor
16 pts allowed during 3 droughts (25.8% of 5-pt margin)
Major Factor
Wagner Seahawksvs Wagner SeahawksL 80-83Feb 19
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (16.9% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
14 pts allowed during 3 droughts (23.3% of 2-pt margin)
Significant Factor
14 pts allowed during 2 droughts (18.9% of 7-pt margin)
Significant Factor
Syracuse Orange@ Syracuse OrangeL 62-76Dec 17
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (14.5% of 14-pt margin)
Significant Factor
11 pts allowed during 1 drought (20% of 3-pt margin)
Significant Factor
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.1% of 9-pt margin)
Minor Factor
8 pts allowed during 1 drought (10.5% of 5-pt margin)
Minor Factor
Drought Killers
Players who most often ended Mercyhurst Lakers scoring droughts this season.
1
JL
Jake Lemelman
53% clutch
17
2
BI
Bernie Blunt III
25% clutch
16
3
QM
Qadir Martin
56% clutch
9
4
DJ
Deshaun Jackson Jr.
43% clutch
7
5
MI
Mykolas Ivanauskas
67% clutch
6
6
CJ
Cameron Johnson
80% clutch
5
7
CG
Christian Gamble
2
8
KF
Kaden Fuhrmann
2
3PT
2PT
FT