Home

Saturday, January 31, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Chicago State Cougars

High confidence

2

est. droughts

4:11

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 17 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Much better than expected

Droughts

~2→1

-1

Pts ceded

~17→7

-10

Mercyhurst Lakers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 12 pts ceded/game

Final results

~ Worse than expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~12→16

+4

Chicago State Cougars averages 2 droughts/game  · Mercyhurst Lakers forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

1

Chicago State Cougars droughts

2

Mercyhurst Lakers droughts

3:16

Longest drought

Mercyhurst Lakers

23

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Chicago State Cougars drought cost

1 drought • 7 pts drought cost

7

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Mercyhurst Lakers drought cost

2 droughts • 16 pts drought cost

16

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Chicago State Cougars

Chicago State Cougars

1
1st Halfnotable

Score: 2 → 4 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: CJ Ray makes layup

2-Pointer

3:02

7.0 pts

Mercyhurst Lakers

Mercyhurst Lakers

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 24 → 26 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Jake Lemelman makes 16-foot pullup jump shot

2-Pointer

3:16

9.0 pts

1st Halfnotable

Score: 11 → 13 · Opponent scored 7 pts

Ended by: Qadir Martin makes driving layup (Jake Lemelman assists)

2-Pointer

3:13

7.0 pts