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Friday, January 2, 2026

Conference game

Drought outlookSeason rates vs final result

Mercyhurst Lakers

High confidence

2

est. droughts

3:53

avg duration

7

pts/drought

est. 15 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ As expected

Droughts

~2→2

+0

Pts ceded

~15→14

-1

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

High confidence

3

est. droughts

4:01

avg duration

8

pts/drought

est. 21 pts ceded/game

Final results

✓ Much better than expected

Droughts

~3→1

-2

Pts ceded

~21→9

-12

Mercyhurst Lakers averages 2 droughts/game  · Fairleigh Dickinson Knights forces 2 opp. droughts/game

3

Total droughts

Both teams combined

2

Mercyhurst Lakers droughts

1

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights droughts

3:37

Longest drought

Mercyhurst Lakers

23

Drought point swing

Total drought cost (pts)

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights drought cost

1 drought • 9 pts drought cost

9

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Mercyhurst Lakers drought cost

2 droughts • 14 pts drought cost

14

Drought cost (pts)

Actual point differential change

Game timeline

All droughts

Notable (3-4 min)Significant (4-5 min)Critical (5+ min)
Mercyhurst Lakers

Mercyhurst Lakers

2
1st Halfnotable

Score: 22 → 24 · Opponent scored 6 pts

Ended by: Jake Lemelman makes 12-foot turnaround jump shot

2-Pointer

3:37

6.0 pts

2nd Halfnotable

Score: 58 → 60 · Opponent scored 8 pts

Ended by: Mykolas Ivanauskas makes layup (Deshaun Jackson Jr. assists)

2-Pointer

3:15

8.0 pts

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

Fairleigh Dickinson Knights

1
1st HalfnotableTO called

Score: 13 → 15 · Opponent scored 9 pts

Ended by: Arthur Cox makes layup (David Jevtic assists)

2-Pointer

3:27

9.0 pts